高速铁路与汽车和航空的竞争格局分析

发布时间：2018-03-22 23:32

本文选题：高速铁路　切入点：汽车　出处：《地理研究》2017年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：通过分析高铁开通前后旅客在不同距离上的交通方式选择偏好,得出高铁在100~300km、700~1000 km分别对汽车和航空市场造成冲击。基于函数模型和典型航线的数据指标,进一步探究高铁与汽车和航空的竞争格局。结果显示:1高铁与汽车的市场临界点为152km;2高铁与航空的市场临界点是633 km;3高铁对航线影响的一般规律:首先,一次性通车的高铁对重合航线的影响大于分段开通的高铁;其次,大型交通枢纽城市之间航线最易受高铁影响,且影响存在"马太效应";第三,商贸繁荣、旅游发达,或受地形影响的两地航线更能抵御高铁冲击;第四,高铁对纵向航线的冲击大于横向航线。最后,提出汽车和航空应采取的应对措施,以期为建成和完善全国现代综合交通运输体系提供参考。
[Abstract]:Based on the analysis of passengers' choice of transportation modes at different distances before and after the opening of the high-speed railway, it is concluded that the high speed rail has an impact on the automobile market and the aviation market at a distance of 300km2 to 1000km, respectively. Based on the functional model and the data indexes of typical routes, The result shows that the critical point of the market between high-speed rail and automobile is 152kmm2 and the market critical point between high-speed rail and aviation is the general law of the influence of high-speed rail on routes: first, The impact of the one-off high-speed rail service on the coincidence route is greater than that of the high-speed rail line opened in sections; secondly, the routes between major transportation hubs are most susceptible to the impact of the high-speed rail line, and there is the "Matthew effect". Third, the trade and commerce are prosperous and tourism is well developed. The impact of high-speed rail on vertical routes is greater than that on horizontal routes. Finally, the measures to be taken by cars and airlines are put forward. In order to build and improve the national modern comprehensive transportation system to provide a reference.
【作者单位】：苏州大学旅游系;苏州大学建筑学院;佛罗里达大学旅游游憩与运动管理系;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41271134)
【分类号】：F532;F542;F562

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