基于DEA方法的城市公交与经济社会发展协调性研究

发布时间：2018-04-15 12:56

本文选题：运输经济 + 发展协调性　；参考：《公路交通科技》2017年09期

【摘要】：为科学判断城市公共交通发展水平与城市综合发展水平的协调性,进一步拓宽城市公共交通的发展空间,明确城市公共交通行业的发展方向,以西安市为例,在确定城市公共交通与经济社会发展评价指标的基础上,运用DEA方法中的CCR模型分析公交与经济社会发展的综合效率、协调性的同时,进一步运用BCC模型探讨发展效率损失的原因,并根据CCR模型的特点计算相关评价指标的权重系数,在此基础上利用主成分分析构建城市公共交通与经济社会发展评价指数,揭示城市公共交通发展与城市经济社会发展间的协调性关系。研究结果表明:西安市公共交通发展滞后于城市经济发展的同时领先于社会发展,公共交通发展效率不足;经济与社会的发展均对城市公共交通发展具有较强的正向促进作用,经济发展对城市公交发展的促进作用高于社会发展,但社会发展能有效提升公交服务水平,对城市公共交通行业的发展起到提质增效的作用。政府部门应进一步优化资源配置方向,提高公共交通发展与经济社会发展的协调性,促进公共交通行业的可持续发展。
[Abstract]:In order to scientifically judge the coordination between the development level of urban public transport and the level of urban comprehensive development, to further broaden the development space of urban public transport, and to clarify the development direction of urban public transport industry, taking Xi'an as an example,On the basis of determining the evaluation index of urban public transport and economic and social development, using the CCR model of DEA method to analyze the comprehensive efficiency and coordination of public transport and economic and social development.The reason of the loss of development efficiency is discussed by using BCC model, and the weight coefficient of relevant evaluation index is calculated according to the characteristics of CCR model. On this basis, the evaluation index of urban public transportation and economic and social development is constructed by principal component analysis.It reveals the harmonious relationship between urban public transport development and urban economic and social development.The results show that the development of Xi'an public transport lags behind the development of urban economy and leads the development of society, and the development of public transport is inefficient, and the development of economy and society has a strong positive effect on the development of urban public transport.Economic development can promote the development of urban public transport more than social development, but social development can effectively improve the level of public transport services, and improve the quality and efficiency of the development of urban public transport industry.Government departments should further optimize the direction of resource allocation, improve the coordination between the development of public transport and economic and social development, and promote the sustainable development of public transport industry.
【作者单位】：长安大学经济与管理学院;新疆交通科学研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(16BJY117)
【分类号】：U12

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