城市公共交通枢纽交通影响分析研究

发布时间：2018-08-26 19:06

【摘要】：随着居民出行需求日益增长和城市化进程的不断推进,城市公共交通枢纽在客运组织中发挥着越来越重要的作用。作为连接不同交通方式的纽带,城市公共交通枢纽具有很强的集聚效应,其新建或扩改建可能对周边交通系统造成很大压力。为评估枢纽新建或扩改建对交通系统的影响,前期通常需要进行交通影响分析,基于分析结果提出对策建议,从而降低对交通系统的不利影响。因此,进行城市公共交通枢纽交通影响分析研究将为协调枢纽建设与交通系统的关系,改善局部交通环境,保证交通系统可持续发展提供强有力的理论支撑。本文以此为背景,结合城市公共交通枢纽交通影响分析的要点,从交通需求预测、交通影响单项指标分析和交通影响程度综合评价三个方面展开城市公共交通枢纽交通影响分析研究,最后结合实例进行了理论方法的应用。本文的主要研究工作如下:(1)分析城市公共交通枢纽对周边交通的影响,明确城市公共交通枢纽交通影响分析的特殊性,在此基础上针对性地提出城市公共交通枢纽交通影响分析的要点,并对要点的适用方法进行概述。(2)基于枢纽特点采用类别吸引率法确定城市公共交通枢纽交通影响范围;进而分析城市公共交通枢纽及影响区域交通需求预测内容,进行基于OD反推的背景交通需求预测和枢纽新生成交通需求预测研究。(3)进行城市公共交通枢纽交通影响单项指标分析。以交通需求预测结果为基础数据,以分析对象为根本出发点,从静态交通、动态交通、环境3个方面进行指标选取,研究枢纽对局部交通影响的显著性判定标准及方法。(4)研究基于多级可拓综合评价法的城市公共交通枢纽交通影响程度评价。以单项指标分析的指标项为基础,构建城市公共交通枢纽交通影响程度评价指标体系,形成3个一级指标和10个二级指标。进而制定交通影响程度等级评定标准,并基于指标体系构建多级物元模型。根据一级指标和二级指标的特点,运用AHP法和主客观组合赋权法对指标进行分级赋权。通过多级可拓综合评价确定枢纽对各一级指标和交通系统总体的影响等级。(5)理论结合实际。以望京西交通枢纽为工程背景,利用本文的相关方法对该枢纽进行交通影响分析,验证本文城市公共交通枢纽交通影响分析方法的可行性和实用性。
[Abstract]:With the increasing demand of residents and the development of urbanization, urban public transport hubs play a more and more important role in passenger transport organization. As a link between different traffic modes, urban public transport hub has a strong agglomeration effect, and its new construction or expansion and reconstruction may cause great pressure on the surrounding traffic system. In order to evaluate the impact of the new construction or expansion of the hub on the traffic system, traffic impact analysis is usually needed in the early stage. Based on the results of the analysis, the countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to reduce the adverse impact on the traffic system. Therefore, the study of urban public transport hub traffic impact analysis will provide a strong theoretical support for coordinating the relationship between hub construction and traffic system, improving the local traffic environment and ensuring the sustainable development of traffic system. Based on this background, combined with the main points of traffic impact analysis of urban public transport hub, this paper forecasts traffic demand, The traffic impact analysis is carried out from three aspects: the analysis of single index of traffic impact and the comprehensive evaluation of traffic impact degree. Finally, the application of theory and method in combination with practical examples is carried out. The main research work of this paper is as follows: (1) analyze the influence of urban public transport hub on the surrounding traffic, and make clear the particularity of urban public transport hub traffic impact analysis. On this basis, the main points of traffic impact analysis of urban public transport hubs are put forward, and the applicable methods are summarized. (2) based on the characteristics of urban public transport hubs, the method of category attraction rate is adopted to determine the traffic impact range of urban public transport hubs; Then it analyzes the forecast contents of urban public transport hub and regional traffic demand. The background traffic demand forecast based on OD backstepping and the forecast of newly generated traffic demand of hub are studied. (3) the single index analysis of urban public transport hub traffic impact is carried out. Based on the result of traffic demand prediction, and taking the object of analysis as the basic starting point, the indexes are selected from static traffic, dynamic traffic and environment. The significance criteria and methods for determining the impact of hubs on local traffic are studied. (4) the evaluation of traffic impact degree of urban public transport hubs based on multilevel extension comprehensive evaluation method is studied. Based on the index items of single index analysis, this paper constructs the evaluation index system of traffic impact degree of urban public transport hub, and forms three first-grade indexes and ten second-class indexes. Then the evaluation standard of traffic impact degree is established, and the multilevel matter-element model is constructed based on the index system. According to the characteristics of the primary index and the second class index, the AHP method and the subjective and objective combination weighting method are used to carry on the grading weight to the index. Through multilevel extension comprehensive evaluation, the influence grade of the hub on the first grade index and the overall transportation system is determined. (5) the theory is combined with the practice. Taking Wangjingxi traffic hub as the engineering background, the traffic impact analysis of the hub is carried out by using the relevant methods in this paper, and the feasibility and practicability of the traffic impact analysis method of the urban public transport hub are verified.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：U491

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