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进城务工人员出行方式选择行为研究

发布时间:2018-09-08 13:02
【摘要】:出行方式选择研究是城市交通规划、政策方针制定的前提和基础,是否正确把握住城市人口出行选择行为关系到城市交通规划政策、方针和建设的合理性和科学性。同时随着改革开放后城市建设步伐不断加快,促使大量农村剩余劳动力进入城市,参与城市现代化建设,并逐步成为城市人口不容忽视的一部分,由于其社会地位、经济条件和职业分布与普通城市居民相比有所不同,因而导致其在日常生活中的出行方式选择上与普通城市居民并不完全一致。为了更好的在城市交通建设和规划中满足不同群体的出行需求,因此有必要对目前较少研究的进城务工人员出行特征及出行方式选择行为进行研究。本文首先对国内外出行研究的研究方法、数据调查、研究对象及模式的发展情况进行了综述。对出行的基本内涵进行了阐述,明确了出行行为是一个为了满足特定的需求从而发生的出行个体生理与心理活动的统一过程,进一步剖析了出行行为形成过程模式和其响应过程;介绍了出行行为分析的基本理论,并对城市交通主要出行方式按照不同出行标准进行了分类和对比;最后引入了态度感知这一主观心理属性,同传统的个人、家庭、出行属性一起构成了影响出行选择行为的因素集,为后文进城务工人员的出行方式选择模型构建和出行特征分析奠定了基础。其次,通过引入的态度感知潜变量属性,将结构方程模型(SEM)与多项Logit模型(MNL)联系在一起,建立了能够同时考虑传统个人、家庭、出行等客观因素和态度感知潜变量主观因素的SEM-Logit出行方式离散选择模型,从而改进了之前的出行方式选择模型只考虑客观因素而没有考虑主观因素影响的缺陷。然后,为了获得基础数据样本,通过设计调查方案和调查内容,利用RP/SP调查方法对西安市的进城务工人员进行了随机出行调查,然后对其基本信息调查数据进行了描述性的统计和对比,并对进城务工人员出行方式选择特征进行了初步分析,总结出了其一定的出行规律。最后,以调查样本数据为基础,利用建立的SEM-Logit出行方式选择模型对西安市的进城务工人员的出行方式选择行为进行了研究,并对模型的拟合结果进行了检验,结果表明所建模型的解释性较好,最后进城务工人员群体选择行为进行了分析研究,进一步明确了进城务工人员的出行方式选择特征。
[Abstract]:The study on the choice of travel mode is the premise and foundation of urban transportation planning, and whether we can correctly grasp the behavior of urban population travel choice is related to the rationality and scientific nature of urban transportation planning policy, policy and construction. At the same time, with the accelerated pace of urban construction after the reform and opening up, a large number of rural surplus labor force to enter the city, participate in urban modernization, and gradually become a part of the urban population can not be ignored, because of its social status, The economic conditions and occupational distribution are different from those of the ordinary urban residents, which leads to their choices of travel modes in their daily life are not completely consistent with those of the ordinary urban residents. In order to better meet the travel needs of different groups in urban traffic construction and planning, it is necessary to study the travel characteristics and travel mode choice behavior of migrant workers, which are less studied at present. Firstly, this paper summarizes the research methods, data survey, research object and model of travel research at home and abroad. This paper expounds the basic connotation of travel, and clarifies that travel behavior is a unified process of individual physiological and psychological activities in order to meet the specific needs. The basic theory of trip behavior analysis is introduced, and the main travel modes of urban traffic are classified and compared according to different travel standards. Finally, the subjective psychological attribute of attitude perception is introduced, which, together with the traditional personal, family and travel attributes, constitutes the set of factors that affect the travel choice behavior. It lays a foundation for the construction of travel mode selection model and the analysis of travel characteristics of migrant workers. Secondly, by introducing the attitude perception latent variable attribute, the structure equation model (SEM) is associated with the multi-term Logit model (MNL), and the traditional individuals and families can be considered simultaneously. The discrete choice model of SEM-Logit travel mode based on objective factors such as travel and attitude perception latent variables subjective factors improves the defects of the previous travel mode selection model which only considers objective factors but does not consider the influence of subjective factors. Then, in order to obtain the basic data sample, through the design investigation plan and the investigation content, uses the RP/SP investigation method to carry on the random trip investigation to the Xi'an city migrant worker. Then the basic information of the survey data are described and compared, and the characteristics of migrant workers' travel mode selection are analyzed preliminarily, and a certain travel law is summarized. Finally, based on the survey sample data, this paper studies the travel mode selection behavior of migrant workers in Xi'an by using the established SEM-Logit travel mode selection model, and tests the fitting results of the model. The results show that the model is well explained. Finally, the behavior of group selection of migrant workers in cities is analyzed and studied, and the characteristics of travel mode selection of migrant workers are further clarified.
【学位授予单位】:长安大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:U491

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