大城市居民客运交通方式选择行为研究

发布时间：2018-11-16 08:43

【摘要】：随着城市交通的发展,公共自行车和网约车的出现使得大城市客运交通体系发生了崭新的变化,然而,城市交通拥堵导致居民出行不便的问题依然没有从根本上得以解决。许多大城市积极采取措施致力于交通环境的改善,但是效果并不明显,其主要原因在于大部分城市更多的关注交通设施的供给,对大城市居民客运交通方式选择的研究不够深入。为了迎接大城市客运交通体系崭新的局面,缓解交通拥堵状况、提高道路交通运输效率、改善交通环境,本文在对现阶段大城市客运交通方式特征分析基础上,围绕大城市居民客运交通方式选择行为进行了深入研究,主要工作有以下几个方面:首先,从宏观和微观两方面总结分析了大城市居民客运交通方式选择的影响因素。其次,以个人为单位从出行全过程的角度设计居民客运交通方式选择的调查问卷,对西安市主城区的居民出行进行调查获取样本数据,从居民出行的个体属性、出行属性、接驳属性和方式属性四个方面统计西安市区居民客运交通方式选择行为特征。最后,以随机效用理论为基础,将居民常用的出行方式-公交车作为参考方式,构建了居民客运交通方式选择行为模型,即:步行vs公交车、私家车vs公交车、出租车vs公交车、网约车vs公交车、公共自行车vs公交车、地铁vs公交车六个客运交通方式选择的二项Logistic回归模型,利用SPSS软件结合样本调查统计数据对模型进行参数估计和检验,最终分析大城市居民客运交通方式的选择和其有显著相关影响因素之间的关系,为大城市客运交通方式结构的调整提供科学的依据。
[Abstract]:With the development of urban traffic, the emergence of public bicycles and ride-sharing has brought about a new change in the passenger transport system in big cities. However, the problem of inconvenient travel caused by urban traffic congestion has not been solved fundamentally. Many big cities actively take measures to improve the traffic environment, but the effect is not obvious. The main reason is that most cities pay more attention to the supply of transport facilities. The research on the choice of passenger transportation mode for the residents of big cities is not enough. In order to meet the new situation of passenger transport system in big cities, alleviate traffic congestion, improve the efficiency of road traffic and improve the traffic environment, this paper analyzes the characteristics of passenger transport modes in large cities at the present stage. The main work is as follows: firstly, this paper summarizes and analyzes the influencing factors of the choice of passenger transport mode for the residents of large cities from the macro and micro aspects. Secondly, from the perspective of the whole travel process, the questionnaire is designed to select residents' passenger transportation mode, and the sample data are obtained from the survey of residents' travel in Xi'an main urban area, and from the individual attributes of residents' travel, the travel attributes. Connection attribute and mode attribute of Xi'an urban residents' choice behavior of passenger transportation mode are analyzed in four aspects. Finally, on the basis of stochastic utility theory, taking the common travel mode of residents as the reference mode, this paper constructs the behavior model of passenger transport mode selection, that is, walking vs bus, private car vs bus, and so on. A two-item Logistic regression model for six modes of passenger transport, such as taxi vs bus, public bicycle vs bus, subway vs bus, The model is estimated and tested by SPSS software combined with statistical data of sample investigation. Finally, the relationship between the choice of passenger transport mode and its significant related factors is analyzed. It provides a scientific basis for the adjustment of passenger transport mode structure in big cities.
【学位授予单位】：西安建筑科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：U12

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