中国能源发展与经济增长的协调状况:实证研究与提升路径

发布时间：2018-06-12 20:23

本文选题：能源发展 + 经济增长　；参考：《经济问题探索》2016年07期

【摘要】：当前中国能源发展与经济增长之间协调与冲突并存。一方面两者间存在着长期均衡关系,呈现出较强的关联性,另一方面产业结构与能源发展矛盾突出、能源过度不合理使用导致经济代价高昂。本文创建能源、经济综合发展水平指标体系,借助主成分分析法和模糊数学隶属度函数进行能源-经济系统协调度测算,结果表明:2000年至2012年间,中国能源-经济系统协调程度属中度协调水平,协调度平均值为0.7083。但由于受国内宏观经济形势、资源瓶颈约束、国际金融危机等多种因素影响,协调度波动性大,距离稳定的优质协调发展目标还有较长距离。建议政府通过推行"龙头企业引领发展"的模式体系、加大对第三产业的支持力度、大力发展非常规石油、改革对国有企业的考核方式、引导国际产业有序转移等策略,进一步提升中国能源发展与经济增长的协调状态。
[Abstract]:At present, the coordination and conflict between energy development and economic growth in China coexist. On the one hand, there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the two, showing a strong correlation, on the other hand, the contradiction between industrial structure and energy development is prominent, and excessive irrational use of energy leads to high economic costs. In this paper, the index system of energy and economic development level is established, and the coordination degree of energy-economy system is calculated by principal component analysis and fuzzy mathematical membership function. The results show that: from 2000 to 2012, The coordination level of China's energy-economy system is moderate, and the average degree of coordination is 0.7083. However, due to the domestic macroeconomic situation, resource bottleneck constraints, the international financial crisis and other factors, the degree of coordination is volatile, and there is still a long way from the stable quality of coordinated development goals. It is suggested that the government should strengthen its support for the tertiary industry, vigorously develop unconventional oil, reform the assessment methods for state-owned enterprises, and guide the orderly transfer of international industries through the implementation of a "leading enterprise leading development" model system. We will further enhance the coordination between energy development and economic growth in China.
【作者单位】：济南大学商学院;中国海洋大学;
【基金】：全国统计科研计划项目“中国能源-经济-环境复合系统协调度的统计测评及政策研究”(LX2012Y24),项目负责人:赵芳国家社科重大项目“我国自然资源资本化及对应市场建设研究”(15ZDB163),项目负责人:张伟济南大学科研基金重点项目“基于3E协调的中国能源发展政策研究”(14ZD01),项目负责人:赵芳
【分类号】：F426.2;F124

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