基于市场交易的航班时刻价值评估

发布时间：2018-02-10 16:33

本文关键词： 航班时刻航空公司价值评估市场交易　出处：《中国民航大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着我国国民经济和社会的不断发展,我国民航业保持长期快速的增长态势。我国繁忙机场航班时刻资源紧张,高峰时刻机场容量几乎达到饱和状态,由于航空运输需求快速增长所需要的航班时刻数量与机场提供的航班时刻数量不能匹配的矛盾日益突出,为了提高航班时刻的利用效率,政府逐步开放航班时刻市场交易环境。在这样的背景下,如何对航班时刻所带来的价值进行评估并且对时刻的获取做出合理规划对航空公司意义重大。因此,本文创新提出航班时刻价值评估方法,希望为航空公司选择航班时刻提供决策依据。首先,本文对国内外航班时刻价值领域的相关研究成果进行综述,对航班时刻价值相关概念进行界定并且对资源稀缺理论、市场交易理论、价值理论等进行梳理。其次,对航班时刻现行分配方式以及时刻交易现状进行概述。再次,系统归纳航班时刻价值影响因素,运用主成分分析法对主要影响因素进行识别,选取月份、客座率、票价等10个影响因素,利用BP神经网络算法构建航班时刻价值评估方法。最后,本文以X航空公司为例,对其航班时刻价值进行评估并且对评估结果进行分析和应用。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of our national economy and society, the civil aviation industry of our country has maintained a long-term rapid growth situation. Due to the contradiction that the number of flight hours needed by the rapid growth of air transport demand does not match the number of flight hours provided by the airport, in order to improve the utilization efficiency of the flight time, The government is gradually opening up the trading environment of the flight timing market. In this context, how to evaluate the value of the flight time and make a reasonable plan for the acquisition of the time is of great significance to the airlines. This paper innovates the evaluation method of flight time value, hoping to provide the decision basis for airlines to choose flight time. First, this paper summarizes the related research results of domestic and foreign flight time value field. Define the concept of flight time value and comb the theory of scarcity of resources, market transaction theory, value theory and so on. Secondly, summarize the current distribution of flight time and the status quo of time trading. Again, The influence factors of flight time value are systematically summarized, and the main influencing factors are identified by principal component analysis, and 10 influencing factors, such as month, passenger seat rate, ticket price, etc, are selected. The algorithm of BP neural network is used to construct the evaluation method of flight time value. Finally, taking X Airlines as an example, this paper evaluates the flight time value of X airline, and analyzes and applies the evaluation results.
【学位授予单位】：中国民航大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F562

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