基于完全分解模型的综合运输系统能耗影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-06-27 05:21

本文选题：综合交通运输 + 能耗分解　；参考：《交通运输系统工程与信息》2014年06期

【摘要】：随着工业化和城市化程度的提高,交通与能源矛盾日益突出.现有研究认为运输业能源消耗与运输量、能源消耗强度有关,然而忽视了综合运输系统结构对能源消耗的影响.为了解综合运输系统能耗与运输量、能耗强度、运输系统结构三者的定性与定量关系,找出综合运输系统能耗快速增长的真正推动因素,本文以综合运输系统为研究对象,建立基于完全分解的综合运输系统能耗影响分析模型,将能耗的影响因素分解成系统结构、运输量、能源消耗强度三大因子,并对1995 2011年的统计数据进行实例计算.研究发现,运输量的大量增加是运输业能耗显著增加的主要因素.但值得关注的是,运输结构对能源消耗的影响日益突出.所以,我国进一步构建综合运输系统时,应当做好各种运输方式在能耗方面的优势比较及合理的整体发展规划,使得各种运输方式协调发展.应该大力发展能源消耗率低且对环境影响小的铁路和水路运输.
[Abstract]:With the development of industrialization and urbanization, the contradiction between transportation and energy is becoming more and more prominent. The current research shows that energy consumption of transportation industry is related to transport volume and energy consumption intensity, but the influence of the structure of integrated transportation system on energy consumption is ignored. In order to understand the qualitative and quantitative relationship between energy consumption and transport volume, energy intensity and transportation system structure of integrated transportation system, and find out the real driving factors of the rapid growth of energy consumption of integrated transportation system, this paper takes the integrated transportation system as the research object. A comprehensive transportation system energy consumption impact analysis model based on complete decomposition is established. The factors affecting energy consumption are divided into three factors: system structure, transportation volume and energy consumption intensity. The statistical data of 1995 and 2011 are calculated by an example. It is found that the increase of transportation volume is the main factor of the significant increase in energy consumption of transportation industry. However, the impact of transport structure on energy consumption is increasingly prominent. Therefore, when constructing the integrated transportation system in China, we should make a good comparison of the advantages of various modes of transportation in energy consumption and a reasonable overall development plan, so as to make the coordinated development of various modes of transportation. Efforts should be made to develop rail and waterway transport with low energy consumption and low environmental impact.
【作者单位】：西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院;西南交通大学综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室;西南交通大学综合运输四川省重点实验室;
【基金】：西部交通战略与区域发展研究中心项目(XJQ010) 综合运输四川省重点实验室项目(B01A1202) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金科技创新项目(A0920502051413-108)
【分类号】：U111

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