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低影响开发技术应用的风险因素分析及对策

发布时间:2017-12-27 21:37

  本文关键词:低影响开发技术应用的风险因素分析及对策 出处:《深圳大学》2015年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文


  更多相关文章: 低影响开发技术 风险管理 风险分析 风险监控 应对策略


【摘要】:随着科技的进步、社会的发展,高新的技术不断的出现,并在人们的日常生活中逐渐推广和应用,发挥着越来越重要的作用。相对于其他项目而言,高新技术应用所面临的风险因素更多,属于高风险的活动。这些风险因素对高新技术的推广和应用产生了十分不利的影响。低影响开发技术(Low Impact Development,LID)作为能够有效解决我国愈来愈普遍和严重的城市内涝和面源污染问题的新技术和新方法,已经引起了业内外的广泛关注。LID技术属于高新技术,该技术引入国内时间较短,人们认知度较低,广大的工程设计人员、施工人员、维护人员等专业技能有所欠缺,与许多高新技术一样该技术在实际应用中存在的风险较多。本文针对低影响开发技术在实践项目应用中,依据风险管理的理论,对低影响开发技术的应用进行风险研究。本文遵循风险管理研究的一般步骤,并充分结合LID技术的实际应用特点,对其在应用过程中可能存在的风险进行充分识别,并对研究结果提出合理的应对策略。本文采用了多种分析手段对LID技术项目建设过程中应用风险进行分析研究,通过定量模型分析了存在风险的优先级别,并根据实践案例研究对存在的风险提出了合理的应对策略,期望能为LID技术项目建设应用过程中的风险管理提供一定的经验。本文的主要内容包括以下几点:(1)概述了LID技术的应用和研究现状,以及风险研究对该技术的重要性。(2)对风险、风险管理的相关理论及发展进行介绍,为下一步研究的进行做准备。(3)通过实际工程现场调研、专家访谈法、头脑风暴法、德尔菲法等方法进行LID技术项目建设应用过程中存在的风险识别和评价,选取了目前LID技术项目建设应用中的相对较为重要的10条风险,然后利用层次分析法对这些风险进行优先级排序。(4)最后,按照风险的优先级别对各个风险进行事前处置和事后处置对策两方面提出风险处理意见,强调风险监控的必要性,并指出风险管理是一个持续的过程,在风险监控的过程中,确定风险变化,不断对风险进行管理。
[Abstract]:With the progress of science and technology and the development of society, the technology of high and new technology is emerging. It is playing a more and more important role in people's daily life. Compared with other projects, high and new technology applications are faced with more risk factors, which belong to high risk activities. These risk factors have a very negative impact on the promotion and application of high and new technology. Low Impact Development (LID), as a new technology and method that can effectively solve the increasingly serious and widespread problems of urban waterlogging and non-point source pollution in China, has attracted wide attention both inside and outside the industry. LID technology is a new technology. The technology is introduced into China for a relatively short time, and people's cognition is low. The professional skills of engineering designers, builders and maintainers are deficient. As with many new technologies, the technology has many risks in practical applications. In this paper, the low impact development technology in the practical project application, according to the risk management theory, the low impact development technology application risk research. This paper follows the general steps of risk management research, and fully combines the practical application characteristics of LID technology, identifies the risks that may exist in the application process, and puts forward reasonable coping strategies for the research results. The research on the application of risk analysis of LID technology in the project construction process for a variety of analytical methods, through quantitative model analysis of risk priority, and according to the practical case study and put forward reasonable coping strategies for the risks, hoping to provide some experience for the application of risk management in the project construction process of LID technology. The main contents of this paper are as follows: (1) the application and research status of LID technology are summarized, and the importance of risk research to the technology is also summarized. (2) introduce the related theory and development of risk and risk management, and prepare for the next step of research. (3) identify and evaluate risk existing in the application process of LID technology in the construction of the project through the actual project site investigation, expert interviews, brainstorming, Delphy Fa and other methods, the current selection of the construction and application of the LID technology in the project of 10 relatively more important risk, and then prioritize the risk by ahp. (4) finally, for each risk prior treatment and post disposal two aspects put forward countermeasures for risk treatment advice according to the risk priority, the necessity of risk monitoring, and points out that risk management is a continuous process, in the process of risk monitoring, determine the risk change, continue to risk management.
【学位授予单位】:深圳大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:TU992;TV213.9

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