从李光耀到李显龙:新加坡对华外交策略的变化与困局

发布时间：2018-03-27 11:05

本文选题：新加坡　切入点：对华关系　出处：《江苏社会科学》2017年02期

【摘要】：伴随着全球化进程的不断发展,中国开始逐步崛起并逐步成为亚洲强国与世界区域性强国,美国一家主导下的全球外交格局与势力版图不断变化,全球外交逐渐出现大国小国、东西方文明的多元竞争与非零和博弈。伴随着中国在东南亚国家的影响力不断增加,中国对于领土、领海、台湾问题等主权诉求趋于强硬。新加坡是东盟的主要创始国,作为东南亚最有外交影响力的国家之一,其一直保持着实用主义均势策略的外交策略,寻求在中、美、印、俄等国中寻找外交平衡点。随着2011年李光耀彻底退出新加坡政治舞台,李显龙的外交政策发生了一些显著的变化。新加坡在实用主义外交策略上出现冒险主义与机会主义特点,"西进"特点突出,无原则亲美立场上不断提升,有打破不结盟原则与放弃外交平衡策略的倾向。新加坡的反共反华迹象有所抬头,作为全球金融中心的新加坡与世界第二大经济体的直接对抗是不明智也是非常危险的。新加坡不但应该回归到李光耀时代的实用主义均势外交策略中来,还应正视中国的发展与强大,做中美关系、两岸关系、中国—东盟关系的润滑剂与助力器,而不是做美国反华策略的前锋队,成为美国亚洲再平衡战略的棋子,并承担美国外交策略失败带来的全部后果。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of globalization, China began to rise gradually and gradually become a strong country in Asia and a regional power in the world. The global diplomatic pattern and the territory of power under the leadership of the United States are constantly changing, and global diplomacy is gradually emerging as a large and small country. With China's growing influence in Southeast Asian countries, China's demands for sovereignty over territory, territorial waters, Taiwan issues, etc. Singapore is the main founding member of ASEAN. As one of the most influential countries in Southeast Asia, it has always maintained a pragmatic balance of power strategy, seeking to reach China, the United States, and India. Russia and other countries seek a diplomatic balance. With Li Guangyao's complete withdrawal from Singapore's political arena in 2011, Some notable changes have taken place in Lee Hsien Loong's foreign policy. Singapore has adventurism and opportunism in its pragmatic foreign policy, a prominent "westward advance", and an unprincipled pro-American stance. There is a tendency to break the principle of non-alignment and abandon the strategy of diplomatic balance. It is unwise and dangerous for Singapore, a global financial centre, to confront the world's second-largest economy directly. Singapore should not only return to the pragmatic balance of power diplomacy of Li Guangyao's time, We should also face up to China's development and strength and be the lubricant and booster of Sino-US relations, cross-strait relations, and China-ASEAN relations, rather than being the vanguard of the US anti-China strategy, becoming the pawn of the US rebalancing strategy in Asia. And bear all the consequences of the failure of US diplomacy.
【作者单位】：南京大学历史学院;江苏省社会科学院农发所;
【分类号】：D833.9;D822

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