伙伴国类型与中国伙伴关系升级

发布时间：2018-05-28 20:39

本文选题：伙伴关系 + 崛起困境　；参考：《世界经济与政治》2017年02期

【摘要】：20世纪90年代中期以来,建立伙伴关系一直是中国外交的重要组成部分。在不断建立新伙伴关系的过程中,中国也一直努力寻求升级已有的伙伴关系。伙伴国类型是影响中国伙伴关系升级的核心因素,即中国与支点国家(坚定支持中国核心利益)或结点国家(拓展中国国际合作资源)的伙伴关系更可能实现升级,其主要原因在于推进与支点或结点伙伴国的政治及安全合作有助于中国缓解崛起困境,即更好地在拓展国际影响力与管控美国及其安全体系的外部压力之间寻求平衡。作为对伙伴国坚定支持和合作的回馈,中国也更愿意在伙伴关系框架内与支点或结点国家实现互惠性合作,从而为伙伴关系升级奠定了坚实基础。Logit回归模型和比较案例分析的检验结果均支持了我们提出的支点或结点国家升级模式。明确中国伙伴关系升级的动因有助于深入理解在美国实力优势及其安全保护体系延续的背景下中国有效缓解崛起困境的理论逻辑以及地区大国伙伴外交的动力机制。
[Abstract]:Since the mid-1990 s, the establishment of partnership has been an important part of China's diplomacy. In the process of building a new partnership, China has also been seeking to upgrade the existing partnership. The type of partner country is the core factor influencing the upgrading of China's partnership, that is, the partnership between China and the fulcrum countries (firmly supporting China's core interests) or the partner countries (expanding China's resources for international cooperation) is more likely to be upgraded. The main reason is that promoting political and security co-operation with fulcrum or node partners will help China ease its rising dilemma, that is, to strike a better balance between expanding international influence and managing the external pressures on the United States and its security system. In return for its firm support and cooperation with partner countries, China is also more willing to cooperate on a reciprocal basis with fulcrum or node countries within the framework of the partnership. Thus, it lays a solid foundation for partnership upgrading. Logit regression model and the test results of comparative case analysis all support the fulcrum or node country upgrade model proposed by us. It is helpful to understand the theoretical logic of China's effective relief of rising dilemma and the dynamic mechanism of regional great power partner diplomacy under the background of American strength superiority and the continuation of security protection system.
【作者单位】：清华大学国际关系学系;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目《东亚安全秩序与周边命运共同体建设研究》(批准号:14BGJ027);国家社会科学基金青年项目《中国构建全球伙伴关系网络的理论与实践研究》(批准号:15CGJ031)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D822.3

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