经济相互依赖、国内政治与国家间冲突——兼论中国与周边海洋权益争端国家间关系

发布时间：2018-06-05 04:46

本文选题：经济相互依赖 + 周边海洋权益争端　；参考：《财经问题研究》2017年05期

【摘要】：中国与周边海洋权益争端国家之间的政治和经贸关系复杂。与日本的关系自安倍晋三执政以来表现为政冷经热,与菲律宾的关系在阿基诺三世执政期间表现为"政冷经热",与韩国的关系在朴槿惠时期则经历了"政经双热"到"政冷经不热",与越南的关系不冷不热。中国是日本、菲律宾和越南等国家的主要贸易对象,它们对中国的经济依赖程度远高于中国对它们的依赖程度。按照贸易和平论,两国之间的经贸密切往来会带来和平或至少会降低冲突或战争的可能性。然而,由于国内政治因素或第三方国家的影响,贸易和平论并非总能成立。在中国与周边海洋权益争端国家的关系中,各国在侵犯中国的海洋权益时尚未与中国建交,更不存在密切的经贸关系;日本和菲律宾与中国海洋权益关系的紧张既受到国内政治的影响,又受到与美国关系的影响,特别是受到美国的亚太再平衡战略的影响。中国在处理与周边海洋权益争端国家的关系时,加强经贸往来特别是加强周边国家对中国的经济依赖程度仍然是重要战略。
[Abstract]:The political and economic relations between China and neighboring maritime disputes are complex. Relations with Japan since Shinzo Abe came to power have shown signs of political chills. During Aquino III's reign, relations with the Philippines were characterized by "political cold and economic heat", while relations with South Korea went through "political and economic double heat" to "political cold and economic not hot", and relations with Vietnam were not cold or hot. China is a major source of trade for countries such as Japan, the Philippines and Vietnam, and they are far more economically dependent on China than on them. According to trade peace, close economic and trade ties between the two countries will bring peace or at least reduce the likelihood of conflict or war. However, due to domestic political factors or the influence of third-party countries, the theory of trade peace is not always true. In the relations between China and the neighboring maritime rights and interests dispute countries, the various countries have not established diplomatic relations with China when violating China's maritime rights and interests, let alone have close economic and trade relations. The tension between Japan and the Philippines and China's maritime rights and interests is affected not only by domestic politics, but also by relations with the United States, especially by the United States' Asia-Pacific rebalancing strategy. In dealing with China's relations with neighboring maritime rights and interests disputes, it is still an important strategy to strengthen economic and trade exchanges, especially the degree of economic dependence of neighboring countries on China.
【作者单位】：山东大学经济研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金一般项目“双层博弈框架下的国际经济关系研究”(12BJL051) 山东大学人文社会科学重大研究项目“海洋产权、海洋主权与维护我国海洋权益研究”(12RWZD13)
【分类号】：D823;F752.7

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