从风险视角看社会保障发展

发布时间：2018-01-30 08:26

本文关键词： 宏观经济社会保障社会福利社会保障风险科学治理风险管理　出处：《西南民族大学学报(人文社科版)》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文从风险视角分析社会保障发展。首先分析了风险的分类,包括内生风险与外生风险,传统风险、工业风险与现代化风险,人为风险与不可控风险。其次讨论了风险演变下的社会保障,具体为:18世纪中叶前由自然风险引发政治风险下的家庭保障与救助;18世纪中叶至19世纪80年代末经济风险与政治风险下社会保险;19世纪80年代末至20世纪70年代"新旧"风险交叠下的社会福利;20世纪70年代后多元风险下的社会保障改革。第三部分根据上述分析得出社会保障风险发展的特点和趋势:由单一简单风险向多元复杂风险转变;社会保障的风险由外生风险转向内外风险并重;风险往往是相互影响的,且越来越呈现出"牵一发而动全身"的态势;人为风险更甚;风险管理由事后补救向事前预防发展。文章最后给出应对社会保障风险的策略为由消极应对向积极防范转变。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the development of social security from the perspective of risk. Firstly, it analyzes the classification of risk, including endogenous risk and exogenous risk, traditional risk, industrial risk and modernization risk. Secondly, it discusses the social security under the risk evolution, which is the family security and relief under the political risk caused by the natural risk before the middle of the 18th century. Social insurance under economic and political risks from the middle of 18th century to 1880s; Social welfare under the overlapping risks of "new and old" from the end of 1880s to 1970s; In the third part, according to the above analysis, the characteristics and trends of the development of social security risk are obtained: from single simple risk to multiple and complex risk; The risk of social security is changed from exogenous risk to internal and external risk. The risk often affects each other, and more and more presents the situation of "pulling one hair and moving the whole body"; Human risk is even greater; The development of risk management is from ex post remedy to pre-prevention. Finally, the strategies to deal with social security risk are given.
【作者单位】：四川大学公共管理学院;
【分类号】：D632.1
【正文快照】： 社会保障是一种规避和转移风险的措施,风险不同决定了社会保障对象和内容的不同。可以说,社会保障产生和发展的历史,就是社会保障所面临及需应对的风险变化的历史。有关社会保障风险的演变,有研究将其分为前工业社会风险、工业社会风险及后工业化社会风险。[1]本文对上述观点

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