吉林省县域人口素质水平及其影响因素分析
发布时间：2018-08-27 11:58
【摘要】：当前的中国经济增长整体放缓,消费、投资和进出口对于经济增长的拉动作用越来越弱,经济增长正在寻求新方向。“供给侧改革”为中国经济增长指明了方向。在“供给侧改革”的人口供给方面,人口素质的提升至关重要。十三五之后,中国进入全面二孩时代。全面放开二胎生育,主要目的在于提高生育率水平,优化人口结构,缓解人口老龄化。在此基础上,对于人口素质的提升也会起到促进作用。因而,在中国经济寻求新的增长点和全面放开二孩的背景下,研究人口素质及其影响因素十分必要。本文构建了人口素质评价指标体系,包含评价人口素质的直接指标和间接指标,建立人口素质评价模型。从教育因素,科学技术、医疗卫生和社会保障因素,经济因素三个方面入手,利用因子分析方法对吉林省人口素质水平及其影响因素进行差异分析。对于吉林省而言,提高人口素质主要应从教育因素方面入手,其次是科学技术、医疗卫生、社会保障因素和经济因素。运用数据包络分析研究教育投入水平对于人口素质的提高所产生的效率。通过聚类分析将吉林省各个地区根据人口素质水平分为三类,分别为人口素质高质量区、人口素质中质量区和人口素质低质量区。并将这三类进行对比,分析各类地区的特点。本文的主要创新之处在于建立的人口素质指标体系不仅包含了“三要素”论的内容,同时也加入了其他对于人口素质会产生影响的因素,使得指标体系更全面和客观。本文的研究结论可以为吉林省各级政府制定社会发展方面的政策提供科学的依据和参考。
[Abstract]:China's overall economic growth is slowing, with consumption, investment, and imports and exports playing a weaker role in driving growth, which is seeking a new direction. Supply-side reform has pointed out the direction of China's economic growth. In the aspect of supply-side reform, the improvement of population quality is very important. After the Thirteenth five-year Plan, China entered a full-scale two-child age. The main purpose of opening up the second child is to improve the fertility rate, optimize the population structure and ease the aging of the population. On this basis, the promotion of the quality of the population will also play a role. Therefore, it is necessary to study the population quality and its influencing factors under the background of seeking new growth points and opening up the second child in an all-round way. In this paper, a population quality evaluation index system is constructed, which includes direct and indirect indicators to evaluate population quality, and a population quality evaluation model is established. From three aspects of education, science and technology, medical and health care, social security and economic factors, this paper analyzes the difference of population quality level and its influencing factors in Jilin Province by using factor analysis method. For Jilin Province, the improvement of population quality should be mainly from the aspects of education, followed by science and technology, medical and health care, social security and economic factors. Data envelopment analysis is used to study the efficiency of education investment level on the improvement of population quality. According to the level of population quality, each region of Jilin Province can be divided into three types by cluster analysis, namely, high quality area of population quality, middle quality area of population quality and low quality area of population quality. And the comparison of these three types of analysis of the characteristics of various regions. The main innovation of this paper lies in the fact that the index system of population quality not only contains the content of "three elements" theory, but also adds other factors that will influence the quality of population, which makes the index system more comprehensive and objective. The conclusions of this paper can provide scientific basis and reference for the governments at all levels in Jilin Province to formulate social development policies.
【学位授予单位】：吉林财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：C924.2
[Abstract]:China's overall economic growth is slowing, with consumption, investment, and imports and exports playing a weaker role in driving growth, which is seeking a new direction. Supply-side reform has pointed out the direction of China's economic growth. In the aspect of supply-side reform, the improvement of population quality is very important. After the Thirteenth five-year Plan, China entered a full-scale two-child age. The main purpose of opening up the second child is to improve the fertility rate, optimize the population structure and ease the aging of the population. On this basis, the promotion of the quality of the population will also play a role. Therefore, it is necessary to study the population quality and its influencing factors under the background of seeking new growth points and opening up the second child in an all-round way. In this paper, a population quality evaluation index system is constructed, which includes direct and indirect indicators to evaluate population quality, and a population quality evaluation model is established. From three aspects of education, science and technology, medical and health care, social security and economic factors, this paper analyzes the difference of population quality level and its influencing factors in Jilin Province by using factor analysis method. For Jilin Province, the improvement of population quality should be mainly from the aspects of education, followed by science and technology, medical and health care, social security and economic factors. Data envelopment analysis is used to study the efficiency of education investment level on the improvement of population quality. According to the level of population quality, each region of Jilin Province can be divided into three types by cluster analysis, namely, high quality area of population quality, middle quality area of population quality and low quality area of population quality. And the comparison of these three types of analysis of the characteristics of various regions. The main innovation of this paper lies in the fact that the index system of population quality not only contains the content of "three elements" theory, but also adds other factors that will influence the quality of population, which makes the index system more comprehensive and objective. The conclusions of this paper can provide scientific basis and reference for the governments at all levels in Jilin Province to formulate social development policies.
【学位授予单位】：吉林财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：C924.2
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