幸福感与居民的生育意愿——基于CGSS2013数据的经验研究

发布时间：2018-11-05 19:23

【摘要】：如何防范低生育水平的长期持续直接关系到我国未来劳动力要素的供给以及经济的平稳发展。本文使用中国综合社会调查(CGSS)2013年数据,评估了幸福感对居民生育意愿的影响。研究发现,幸福感的提升有助于增强居民的生育意愿,在工具变量估计以及进一步控制公共教育、劳动就业、社会保障和公共文化服务等因素的影响后该结论依然成立。此外,幸福感对生育意愿的影响效应存在异质性。具体而言,幸福感增强了城镇和相对年轻育龄妇女的生育意愿,而对农村和相对年长的育龄妇女没有显著影响。这意味着,以改善民生和提高居民幸福感为目标的经济增长方式转变不仅有助于增强居民的生育意愿,缓解我国当前低生育水平难题,对延续我国未来人口红利、促进经济发展也具有重要现实意义。
[Abstract]:How to prevent the long-term persistence of low fertility level is directly related to the supply of labor factors and the steady development of economy in the future. Using (CGSS) 2013 data from China Comprehensive Social Survey, this paper assesses the effect of happiness on fertility willingness of residents. It is found that the improvement of happiness can enhance residents' desire to have children. This conclusion is still true after the instrumental variable estimation and further control of public education, labor and employment, social security and public cultural services. In addition, there is heterogeneity in the effect of well-being on fertility intention. Specifically, happiness increases the fertility willingness of urban and relatively young women of childbearing age, but has no significant impact on rural and relatively older women of childbearing age. This means that the transformation of the mode of economic growth aimed at improving the people's livelihood and enhancing the well-being of the residents will not only help to strengthen the residents' desire to have children, ease the current problem of low fertility levels in our country, and will contribute to the continuation of the future demographic dividend of our country. Promoting economic development also has important practical significance.
【作者单位】：中南财经政法大学公共管理学院;中南财经政法大学城乡发展研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“完善人口和计划生育利益导向政策体系研究”(11&ZD038)的资助
【分类号】：C912.6;C924.21

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