上海合作组织扩员后的发展战略及中国的作为——基于SWOT方法的分析视角

发布时间：2018-03-16 15:33

本文选题：上海合作组织　切入点：SWOT分析方法　出处：《当代亚太》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：上海合作组织扩员后的发展战略应作为指引其未来走向的规划,这一规划对于增强其制度引领能力、推进安全与经济合作、参与全球治理具有关键作用。SWOT模型为分析上海合作组织扩员后的发展战略提供了适宜的方法。通过分析发现,上海合作组织扩员后可以采取劣势—机会战略,即借助有利的外部环境,弥补自身的劣势,实现组织更为良性的发展。随着印度与巴基斯坦的加入,上海合作组织实现了由传统的陆地型区域组织向海陆兼备型区域组织的转变,这为该地区国家的发展战略与中国提出的"一带一路"倡议的对接创造了条件。具体而言,中国应借助中俄印三国互动机制,深化能源、经济和安全领域的合作,缓解因扩员对上海合作组织造成的冲击;同时,以"一带一盟"战略对接为切入点,将合作成果惠及中亚及周边地区,并将上海合作组织打造成丝绸之路经济带与中巴经济走廊、孟中印缅经济走廊对接与合作的中枢。
[Abstract]:The development strategy of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization after the expansion of its membership should be used as a plan to guide its future direction, which will enhance its institutional leadership ability and promote security and economic cooperation. The SWOT model of participation in global governance provides an appropriate method for the analysis of the development strategy of Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) after expanding its membership. Through the analysis, it is found that the strategy of inferiority and opportunity can be adopted after the expansion of SCO membership. That is, with the help of favorable external environment, to make up for their own weaknesses and achieve a more benign development of the organization. With the accession of India and Pakistan, The Shanghai Cooperation Organization has realized the transition from a traditional land-based regional organization to a land-sea regional organization, which has created the conditions for the development strategy of the countries in the region to be linked to the "Belt and Road" initiative put forward by China. China should deepen cooperation in the fields of energy, economy and security with the help of the mechanism of interaction between China, Russia and India, so as to alleviate the impact caused by the expansion of its membership to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization; at the same time, it should take the "one Belt, one Union" strategy as a starting point. The cooperation will benefit Central Asia and the surrounding areas, and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization will be built into the Silk Road economic belt and China-Pakistan economic corridor, Meng-Sina-Myanmar economic corridor docking and cooperation center.
【作者单位】：武汉大学国际问题研究院/国家领土主权与海洋权益协同创新中心;
【分类号】：D814.1

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