中日对外直接投资影响因素的比较分析

发布时间：2018-03-19 05:18

本文选题：中日　切入点：比较　出处：《北京外国语大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着我国在国际经济舞台上发挥的作用愈发重要,依托于"一带一路"战略和亚投行的建立,我国的对外直接投资正在以大跨步的节奏迅速发展。但不容忽视的是,我国正面临着经济下行的压力,人民币开始进入贬值周期,并出现了汇率波动的情况,这些与日本在20世纪80年代的处境十分相似。基于以上背景,本文选取了日本作为比较对象。首先从发达国家和发展中国家两个角度梳理了对外直接投资的理论,并按照时间序列对中日两国的对外直接投资发展状况进行了阐述;接着以宏观因素为方向分析了经济发展水平、贸易水平、国内需求以及政策因素对对外直接投资的影响机制;最后通过对促进对外直接投资的增长因素运用因子分析的方法进行研究,得出以下结论:一是影响我国对外直接投资的主要宏观因子分别为宏观经济因子、需求因子和政策因子,它们三者对我国FDI的影响程度依次递减;二是影响日本对外直接投资的宏观因子是宏观经济因子和外贸因子,并且前者对日本FDI的作用程度大于后者;三是在对影响中日两国对外直接投资的不同及相同因素进行对比分析后,为继续保持我国FDI总量的平稳持续增长并尽量减小受目前负面环境的影响,提出了积极开拓国内市场以扩大内需,完善对外直接投资政策战略和促进国际贸易活动以带动对外投资增长,这三点建议。
[Abstract]:As China plays an increasingly important role in the international economic arena, relying on the establishment of "Belt and Road" strategy and the AIIB, China's foreign direct investment (FDI) is developing at a rapid pace of great strides. China is facing downward pressure on its economy. The RMB has entered a depreciation cycle and experienced exchange rate fluctuations, which are very similar to those of Japan in 1980s. This paper selects Japan as the comparative object. Firstly, it combs the theory of FDI from the two angles of developed and developing countries, and expounds the development of FDI between China and Japan according to the time series. Then it analyzes the influence mechanism of economic development level, trade level, domestic demand and policy factors on FDI in the direction of macroscopical factors. Finally, by using factor analysis method to study the growth factors that promote FDI, the following conclusions are drawn: first, the main macroeconomic factors affecting FDI in China are macroeconomic factors, respectively. Demand factor and policy factor, the influence degree of them to FDI of our country is decreasing in turn; second, the macroeconomic factor and foreign trade factor that influence Japan's foreign direct investment are macroscopical factors, and the former has more effect on Japan's FDI than the latter. Third, after making a comparative analysis of the differences and the same factors affecting the foreign direct investment between China and Japan, in order to continue to maintain the steady and sustained growth of China's total FDI and to minimize the impact of the current negative environment, Three suggestions are put forward to expand domestic market expand domestic demand perfect foreign direct investment policy strategy and promote international trade activities to promote the growth of foreign investment.
【学位授予单位】：北京外国语大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F131.3;F125

【参考文献】