“一带一路”贸易新格局与新秩序

发布时间：2018-05-02 16:46

  本文选题：传统丝绸之路 + “一带一路”　； 参考：《河南社会科学》2017年10期

【摘要】："一带一路"在实现"两个一百年"奋斗目标、实现中华民族伟大复兴的中国梦过程中扮演着重要角色。《传统丝绸之路兴衰历史周期研究》一文提出,中国丝绸之路每轮周期的上升段长于下降段(下降段陡峭),中国丝绸之路的周期提前于中国历史经济周期的运行,中国丝绸之路的周期运行影响了中国历史经济周期的运行。中国历史人口水平是中国历史经济增长的格兰杰原因,而中国历史经济增长不是中国历史人口水平的格兰杰原因。开辟传统丝绸之路的目的在于互通有无实现经济繁荣,对外战争是保障中国丝绸之路兴盛的工具之一而不是目的,是丝绸之路沿线国家经济繁荣的基础;和平签约的方式同样也实现了中国丝绸之路的繁荣,带来的经济发展目的更加明显,包容性更强,发展效果也更好。内部战乱是中国丝绸之路繁盛终结的主因,是中国历史经济周期快速进入衰败期的根源。中国传统丝绸之路兴衰历史周期是中国国内包容与国际包容发展相叠加的历史经济周期,与征战周期完全不同。《"一带一路"场域中区域合作范式深化与重构》一文提出,"一带一路"倡议不但进一步提升了我国对外开放水平,而且还打造了一个全新的区域合作格局和区域合作新模式。随着"一带一路"沿线国家和地区经济一体化的不断深入,区域合作正处在深刻的调整和变革之中,各利益相关者需要在转型发展的关键时期,着力构建合作发展的新范式。《"一带一路"贸易新格局与新秩序》一文提出,我国在促进和周边国家之间的贸易往来、文化交流与经济之间的全方位合作方面做出了大量努力,取得了极大成效,在实现我国与周边国家和地区贸易格局重塑的同时,也通过交流和合作,让我国对外贸易的发展实现了转型升级。可以预见,伴随着"一带一路"的系统化推进,我国区域经济带贸易最终将进入全新的发展时期,不但经济要素会更加有序而自由地流动,资源配置效率和市场融合程度都将不断提升,区域间的贸易合作范围和深度都将进一步拓展,水平也会更高。《"一带一路"下的文明互鉴与融合发展》一文指出,"一带一路"始终坚持和平合作、开放包容、互学互鉴和互利共赢的基本原则,这不但体现了丝路文明之基本精神,也让"一带一路"具有了东西方交流合作的精神象征,势必会借此为世界各国人民再创造一份伟大的文化遗产。而事实上,复兴"一带一路"文明不但能够为世界经济交往指明道路与方向,还能借助国家主导的经济合作和经贸活动,与沿线国家进行文化、文明的交往与交流,在互学互鉴的过程中让沿线国家之间的交往更加紧密。《"一带一路"下全球化与"逆全球化"研究》一文分析指出,一些西方主要资本主义国家目前从全球化的重要推手蜕变成了"逆全球化"的积极推动者,对世界范围内的自由贸易造成了新的冲击。借助欧美推动的国际合作也会在未来一段时间遭遇更大阻力。但全球化的大势不会发生根本逆转,贸易保护性措施只能是有针对性的、临时性的。由于"一带一路"极大追求包容均衡发展,必将对全球化和资源、贸易自由流动产生巨大推动力。
[Abstract]:"The Belt and Road" in the "two one hundred year" goal, China dream the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation plays an important role in the history of the silk road. The traditional Cycle Research > paper, Chinese Silk Road in every round of cycle of the rise period is longer than the decline (by Duan Douqiao), China cycle the Silk Road in advance The operation of the country's historical and economic cycle and the periodic operation of the Chinese silk road have affected the operation of the Chinese historical and economic cycle. The historical population level of China is the Grainger cause of China's historical and economic growth, while the Chinese historical and economic growth is not the original cause of the Chinese historical population level. The purpose of the development of the traditional silk road is to interwork. Whether or not to achieve economic prosperity, foreign war is one of the tools to guarantee the prosperity of the Chinese Silk Road, not the aim, and the basis of the economic prosperity along the Silk Road; the way of peace signing has also realized the prosperity of the Chinese Silk Road, and the purpose of economic development is more obvious, more inclusive and more effective. The Ministry of war is the main cause of Chinese prosperous silk road end, is the history of the economic cycle Chinese rapid decline period. China root into the traditional silk road history period is China domestic and international inclusive inclusive development combined the history of the economic cycle, and the cycle for completely different. "The Belt and Road" in the field of regional cooperation deep paradigm With a proposed "Reconstruction", The Belt and Road "initiative not only to further enhance the level of China's opening up, but also to create a new pattern of regional cooperation and regional cooperation in the new mode. With the" The Belt and Road countries along the continuous deepening of economic integration, regional cooperation is in adjustment and reform deep in the The needs of stakeholders in the key period of restructuring and development. A new paradigm of "efforts to build cooperation in the development of the The Belt and Road" new trade pattern and proposed a new order >, China's trade between neighboring countries and promote the all-round cooperation between the economic and cultural exchanges and made a lot of efforts made great achievements in real Now China and surrounding countries and regions to reshape the trade pattern at the same time, through exchanges and cooperation for the development of China's foreign trade to achieve the transformation and upgrading. Predictably, accompanied by "system Belt and Road Initiative" to promote China's regional economic trade zone will eventually enter a new period of development, not only economic factors will be more orderly and free Flow, efficiency and market allocation of resources will continue to enhance the degree of integration, inter regional trade cooperation will further expand the scope and depth, the level will be higher. "The Belt and Road" under the mutual fusion and Development > article pointed out, "The Belt and Road" always adhere to peaceful cooperation, openness tolerance, mutual learning and mutual benefit and win-win results In principle, it not only embodies the basic spirit of silk civilization, but also to The Belt and Road "with the West cooperation spirit symbol, is bound to re create the people all over the world a great cultural heritage. In fact, the revival of" The Belt and Road "civilization not only for the world economy way with the direction, but also with State led economic cooperation and trade activities, cultural contacts and exchanges with countries along, civilization, in the process of mutual learning in making exchanges between the countries along more closely. "The Belt and Road under globalization and" counter globalization "research" the analysis pointed out that some major Western capitalist countries at present from the globalization important The transformation of hands into a "anti globalization" active promoter has created a new impact on free trade worldwide. International cooperation promoted by Europe and the United States will also encounter greater resistance in the future. However, the trend of globalization will not have a fundamental reversal, and trade protection measures can only be targeted and temporary. The Belt and Road "great pursuit of inclusive and balanced development, is bound to the free flow of trade globalization and resources, have a great impetus.

【作者单位】： 吉林大学哲学社会学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金一般资助项目(15XRK003)
【分类号】：F742
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本文编号：1834703