国际贸易增长低迷的原因及中国的应对策略

发布时间：2018-05-03 16:41

本文选题：国际贸易 + 增长前景　；参考：《价格月刊》2017年08期

【摘要】：进入后金融危机时代,国际贸易依然没有从国际金融危机打击中走出来,持续低速增长有可能继续延续下去。相对于金融危机之前国际贸易倍增于全球GDP增长情况,当前国际贸易持续低迷实属罕见。主要原因在于:全球经济增长乏力,多个经济体增长蕴含风险;贸易自由化遭遇困境,贸易保护主义抬头;全球价值链重构困难,不确定因素增多;价格因素和全球化红利消失,国际贸易增长前景不明朗等。对已经进入经济新常态的中国对外贸易发展而言,应采取以优势行业为突破口打造以中国为主导的全球价值链、利用国际贸易低速增长之机加速国内企业改革、以"负面清单"模式发展服务贸易、以"一带一路"战略为契机参与全球贸易规则制定等措施,切实推动对外贸易持续健康发展。
[Abstract]:In the post-financial crisis era, international trade still has not come out from the international financial crisis, and the sustained slow growth is likely to continue. Compared with the doubling of international trade to global GDP growth before the financial crisis, it is rare for international trade to remain depressed. The main reasons are as follows: the global economic growth is weak, the growth of many economies carries risks, the trade liberalization encounters difficulties, the trade protectionism rises, the global value chain reconstruction is difficult, the uncertainty factor increases; Price factors and globalization dividends disappear, international trade growth prospects are uncertain. For the development of China's foreign trade, which has entered the new normal state of economy, we should take advantage of the advantage industries as a breakthrough point to build a global value chain dominated by China, and make use of the opportunity of low growth of international trade to speed up the reform of domestic enterprises. Taking "negative list" mode to develop service trade, taking "Belt and Road" as a strategic opportunity to participate in global trade rules making and other measures to promote the sustained and healthy development of foreign trade.
【作者单位】：楚雄师范学院经济与管理学院;
【分类号】：F746;F752

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