东盟国家引进中国FDI与其经济增长关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-14 17:34

本文选题：中国FDI + 东盟　；参考：《云南师范大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：自“10+1”中国—东盟自由贸易区成立和签署了《中国—东盟自由贸易区投资协议》以来,尤其是中国实行的“一带一路”战略,不断促进中国—东盟区域内的外商直接投资(Foreign Direct Investment,FDI)的发展。随着区域一体化进程的加快,中国企业在东盟国家的FDI规模不断扩大。中国直接投资迅速流入东盟加快了东盟国家的经济发展、优化了东盟国家的产业结构,同时也提高了东盟各成员国的经济效率。本文以前人经济增长和外国直接投资理论为基础,研究了中国对东盟国家的直接投资和东盟国家的经济增长之间的关系。首先,从整体上分析了东盟国家的经济发展现状;然后分析了中国目前对东盟国家投资规模、投资的行业分布以及投资的国别构成,并从三个角度分析了中国对东盟国家直接投资的动因。最后,分别以东盟国家整体和各东盟主要国家为研究对象,建立动态面板数据模型分析了中国FDI与东盟国家之间的经济增长效应,并分别测算了中国FDI对经济增长的贡献度,得出以下结论:第一,中国与东盟国家的投资、贸易往来规模日益增长,中国对东盟国家投资行业不断拓宽。2013年,中国领导人提出共建“21世纪海上丝绸之路”倡议,中国—东盟已经成为紧密的命运共同体。第二,中国在东盟国家的FDI出于三种投资动因:资源寻求性投资动因、市场寻求性投资动因和贸易寻求性投资动因。第三,就整体而言,中国对东盟国家的FDI具有一定的经济增长效应,中国直接投资的流入在一定程度上促进了东盟国家的经济增长,同时,中国FDI与东盟国内固定资产投资和东盟的外贸出口之间存在“互补效应”,格兰杰因果关系检验表明东盟GDP的增长是中国FDI增加的原因。第四,通过国别分析,中国FDI对东盟各主要国家经济促进作用不一:中国FDI的增加能够一定程度上导致泰国、新加坡和印度尼西亚GDP的增加,而且对新加坡经济增长促进作用最明显,同时中国FDI对东盟五国经济增长的贡献度测算的结果表明中国FDI对泰国GDP的贡献度最大。
[Abstract]:Since "101" China-ASEAN Free Trade area was established and signed the China-ASEAN Free Trade area Investment Agreement, especially the "Belt and Road" strategy implemented by China. To promote the development of foreign direct investment (FDI) in China-ASEAN region. With the acceleration of regional integration, the FDI scale of Chinese enterprises in ASEAN countries is expanding. The rapid inflow of Chinese direct investment into ASEAN accelerates the economic development of ASEAN countries, optimizes the industrial structure of ASEAN countries, and improves the economic efficiency of ASEAN member countries. Based on the theory of economic growth and foreign direct investment, this paper studies the relationship between China's direct investment in ASEAN countries and the economic growth of ASEAN countries. First of all, it analyzes the economic development of ASEAN countries as a whole, and then analyzes the scale of Chinese investment in ASEAN countries, the industry distribution of investment and the national composition of investment. And from three angles to analyze the motivation of China's direct investment in ASEAN countries. Finally, taking the ASEAN countries as a whole and the main ASEAN countries as research objects, the dynamic panel data model is established to analyze the economic growth effect between China FDI and ASEAN countries, and the contribution of China FDI to economic growth is calculated. The conclusions are as follows: first, the scale of investment and trade between China and ASEAN countries is increasing, and the investment industry of China in ASEAN countries has been continuously broadened. In 2013, the Chinese leaders put forward the initiative of jointly building the "Maritime Silk Road of the 21st Century". China-ASEAN has become a close community of destiny. Second, China's FDI in ASEAN countries is driven by three kinds of investment motives: resource seeking investment, market seeking investment and trade seeking investment. Third, on the whole, China's FDI to ASEAN countries has a certain economic growth effect, and the inflow of Chinese direct investment has promoted the economic growth of ASEAN countries to a certain extent, at the same time, There is a "complementary effect" between China's FDI and ASEAN's domestic fixed asset investment and ASEAN's foreign trade export. Granger causality test shows that the growth of ASEAN's GDP is the reason for the increase of China's FDI. Fourth, through country analysis, China's FDI has different effects on the economy of major ASEAN countries: the increase of China's FDI can, to some extent, lead to the increase of GDP in Thailand, Singapore and Indonesia. Moreover, the contribution of Chinese FDI to the economic growth of the five ASEAN countries is the most obvious. The results show that the contribution of Chinese FDI to GDP in Thailand is the largest.
【学位授予单位】：云南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F113;F831.6

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