我国PPP项目风险综合指数的测度

发布时间：2018-06-04 04:14

本文选题：PPP项目 + 风险评价　；参考：《河北大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：PPP模式是在当代与时俱进的融资模式,PPP项目逐渐增多,与传统工程项目相比更加高效安全,PPP模式在我国大江南北流行开来。伴随着中国对一带一路沿线国家投资规模的不断扩大,政府资金支持不断加强,不难预测未来会有越来越多的中国企业将在一带一路地区投资,这其中基础设施领域尤为关键,随着法律法规的逐步完善,PPP项目必将成为未来中国经济发展的重点。PPP项目类型很多,大致分为外包、特许经营和私有化三类,一般通过政府公开招标或竞争性谈判等方式进行项目的采购。现阶段我国PPP模式发展尚处于起步阶段,在运作流程中存在很多不规范之处,所以在其审批、建设、运营过程中存在大量的风险因素。PPP模式走在时代的前端,故对其项目工程的风险评价显得尤为重要。本文在国内外PPP模式风险研究的基础上,结合风险评价相关理论提出了基于政治风险、法律风险、金融风险、建设风险、市场风险的PPP项目风险评价框架,进而构建了PPP项目风险评价指标体系,运用BP神经网络模型计算风险综合指数,加之实际案例的论证,对模型的有效性进行检验,最后提出了为保证PPP项目能良好实施的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The PPP model is a financing mode that keeps pace with the times. Compared with the traditional engineering projects, the PPP model is more efficient and safer than the traditional one. It is popular in the north and south of China. With the continuous expansion of China's investment in countries along the Belt and Road route and the continuous strengthening of government financial support, it is not difficult to predict that more and more Chinese enterprises will invest in the Belt and Road region in the future, especially in the field of infrastructure. With the gradual improvement of laws and regulations, the PPP project will become the focus of China's economic development in the future. There are many types of PPP projects, which are roughly divided into three categories: outsourcing, franchise and privatization. Procurement of projects is generally carried out by means of open government tenders or competitive negotiations. At present, the development of PPP mode in our country is still in the initial stage, and there are a lot of irregularities in the operation process, so there are a large number of risk factors in the process of approval, construction and operation. Therefore, the risk evaluation of its project is particularly important. Based on the research of PPP model risk at home and abroad, this paper puts forward the risk evaluation framework of PPP project based on political risk, legal risk, financial risk, construction risk and market risk. Furthermore, the index system of PPP project risk evaluation is constructed, and the BP neural network model is used to calculate the risk synthesis index. The validity of the model is tested by the demonstration of actual cases. Finally, some policy suggestions are put forward to ensure the good implementation of PPP project.
【学位授予单位】：河北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F283

【参考文献】