东道国领导人任期与中国在“一带一路”沿线的直接投资

发布时间：2018-06-24 21:05

本文选题：东道国领导人 + 任期　；参考：《国际经贸探索》2017年11期

【摘要】：领导人在国家经济发展中的作用越来越被重视,基于此,文章运用2003~2014年的面板数据,实证考察了东道国领导人任期对中国在"一带一路"沿线直接投资的影响作用。研究发现,"一带一路"沿线东道国领导人任期与中国对外直接投资存在显著的二次倒U型关系。但进一步的研究则发现,东道国领导人任期对中国对外直接投资的影响会因东道国政治体制和领导人对华态度的不同而存在明显差异,只有威权型东道国领导人任期才存在显著倒U型影响,而民主型东道国或对华态度友好的领导人任期均只存在显著的一次线性积极影响,排华领导人任期则只存在显著的一次线性消极影响。因此,中国企业开展海外直接投资必须重视东道国领导人的任期变化,并根据东道国政治体制和领导人对华态度,有针对性地采取相应策略。
[Abstract]:More and more attention has been paid to the role of leaders in the development of national economy. Based on this, using panel data from 2003 to 2014, this paper empirically examines the influence of the term of the leader of the host country on China's direct investment along "Belt and Road". It is found that there is a significant relationship between the term of the host country leader along "Belt and Road" and China's foreign direct investment (OFDI). However, further studies have found that the influence of the term of office of the host country on China's foreign direct investment will be significantly different from the political system of the host country and the attitude of the leaders towards China. Only the leader tenure of the authoritarian host country has significant inverted U type influence, while the democratic host country or the leader with friendly attitude towards China has only one significant linear positive influence on the tenure of the leader. The leadership term of China exclusion has only one significant negative linear effect. Therefore, Chinese enterprises should pay attention to the change of the term of the host country leaders and adopt corresponding strategies according to the political system of the host country and the attitude of the leaders towards China.
【作者单位】：广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院;21世纪海上丝绸之路协同创新中心;
【基金】：2016年广东省自然科学基金项目“高层政治外交对中国对外直接投资境外安全的影响研究”(2016A030313687) 2015年国家社科基金重大项目“‘一带一路’战略与中国参与全球经济治理问题研究”(15ZDA018)
【分类号】：F125

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