“一带一路”背景下中越劳动密集型产品双边贸易研究——基于2007-2013年数据

发布时间：2018-08-22 11:02

【摘要】：对于中越两国2007-2013年劳动密集型产品双边贸易发展状况分析显示,中越劳动密集型产品货物贸易一体化在规模、广度、深度上都在向前推进,但以规模扩张为主,纵深发展不足,尤其是新增品种的产业分布过于集中,产业内贸易水平过低;中越货物贸易一体化发展不平衡,中国在出口规模及其增长速度上强于越南,越南则在广度拓展及出口结构调整方面表现更为突出;劳动力势能对中越货物贸易一体化的发展具有驱动作用。中越之间劳动力势能正在发生变化,中国在单位劳动力成本方面的优势仍将保持,但二者的差距将趋于缩小,越南在劳动力要素方面的后发优势日益显现,中越之间劳动力的结构性差异所蕴藏的能量将逐渐释放。这一变化趋势为推动中越货物贸易一体化向纵深发展提供了契机,但也对中国企业提出了挑战。对劳动力势能进行深度开发,是中国企业在新环境下参与中越货物贸易一体化进程的一条可行路径。
[Abstract]:The analysis of the development of bilateral trade in labor-intensive products between China and Vietnam from 2007 to 2013 shows that the integration of trade in goods of labor-intensive products between China and Vietnam is advancing in scale, breadth and depth, but it is dominated by scale expansion and underdeveloped in depth. In particular, the industrial distribution of the new varieties is too concentrated, the level of intra-industry trade is too low, the integration of Sino-Vietnamese goods trade is not balanced, and China's export scale and growth rate are stronger than those of Vietnam. Vietnam is more prominent in terms of breadth expansion and export structure adjustment, and the potential energy of labor force has a driving effect on the development of Sino-Vietnamese goods trade integration. The potential energy of labor force between China and Vietnam is changing, and China's superiority in unit labor costs will remain, but the gap between the two will be narrowed, and Vietnam's late-development advantage in labor factors will become increasingly apparent. The energy contained in the structural differences in labor between China and Vietnam will gradually be released. This trend provides an opportunity to promote the integration of goods trade between China and Vietnam, but also challenges Chinese enterprises. It is a feasible way for Chinese enterprises to participate in the process of Sino-Vietnamese goods trade integration under the new environment.
【作者单位】：广西大学商学院;
【基金】：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“中国-东盟区域经济一体化”(10JZD022)
【分类号】：F752.7

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