国际产能合作与重塑中国经济地理

发布时间：2018-12-16 07:15

【摘要】：当前中国经济正面临化解产能过剩及破解"胡焕庸线悖论"双重难题,构建资本跨区域流动两国三区域模型,对重塑中国经济地理格局下"一带一路"倡议及国际产能合作战略进行理论解析,结果发现:产业布局向"胡焕庸线"右侧过度倾斜,加剧了个人经济理性与社会集体理性的不匹配,弱化了区域一体化的政策效果;而且中国产业布局在集聚程度和集聚效益之间呈现钟状曲线特征,客观上要求由Krugman的"从分散到集聚"范式向Helpman的"从集聚到分散"范式转换。为此,重塑中国经济地理需要国际产能合作和负面清单管理双管齐下,实现资本流动的溢出效应与资本积累的增长效应在空间上的功能互补。通过再造以我为主的国际生产体系,强化中国在"一带一路"价值链中的龙头地位。
[Abstract]:At present, China's economy is faced with the dual problem of resolving overcapacity and solving the "Hu Huanyong's line paradox", and building a model of two countries and three regions for the cross-regional flow of capital. The theoretical analysis of the "Belt and Road" initiative and the strategy of international capacity cooperation under the reshaping of China's economic geography shows that the industrial layout is excessively inclined to the right of the "Hu Huanyong line". It intensifies the mismatch between individual economic rationality and social collective rationality and weakens the policy effect of regional integration; Moreover, the industrial distribution in China has the characteristic of bell curve between the degree of agglomeration and the efficiency of agglomeration, which objectively requires the transformation from the paradigm of "dispersion to agglomeration" of Krugman to the paradigm of "from agglomeration to decentralization" of Helpman. Therefore, reshaping China's economic geography requires a combination of international capacity cooperation and negative inventory management to realize the spatial complementarity of spillover effects of capital flows and growth effects of capital accumulation. By reconstructing our international production system, we can strengthen China's leading position in Belt and Road's value chain.
【作者单位】：南京大学经济学院产业经济系;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“支撑未来中国经济增长的新战略区域研究”(14ZDA024) 国家自然科学基金项目“基于动态DCI和CGE分析技术的区域一体化与福利补偿研究”(71173101) “中国特色社会主义经济建设协同创新中心”子课题“区域经济协调与城乡发展一体化”阶段性成果
【分类号】：F129.9

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