跨太平洋伙伴关系协定（TPP）对中国服务贸易影响研究
发布时间：2019-02-16 04:08
【摘要】：跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement)发展至今,经历了扩容和美国退出的局势变革。从不断扩容到美国总统特朗普签署行政命令,正式宣布美国退出TPP,2017年3月中国和韩国应邀参与TPP成员国会议。不管经济格局如何变革,经济发展的必然趋势仍然是经济全球化。全球经济快速发展的同时,服务贸易逐渐在世界经济中展现其重要性。服务贸易发展水平已经成为衡量一个国家国际竞争力的重要标志之一。近年,中国服务贸易快速发展,但与发达国家相比较,中国服务贸易的发展依然有很大的差距。因此,研究TPP背景下的中国服务贸易的发展很有必要。通过分析TPP的发展历程,结合贸易总量、服务贸易RCA指数和服务贸易开放度来分析中国与主要TPP国家的服务贸易发展现状。在现状研究的基础上,利用GTAP模型模拟中国加入TPP前后两种情境,探究中国服务贸易在中国加入TPP前后的总量和具体行业的影响。分析得出中国加入TPP对中国服务贸易有积极的影响,而中国不加入TPP服务贸易将会有负面影响。基于相关理论、现状和模拟结果,提出几点建议:一是更大程度地开放中国服务贸易,优化服务贸易产业结构,推动中国服务贸易的发展;二是通过加强“一带一路”沿线国家和东盟地区的合作来深化亚太地区服务贸易的洽谈与合作;三是寻求适时加入TPP的机会,发挥TPP对于中国服务贸易发展的积极作用。
[Abstract]:The Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement) has evolved through expansion and withdrawal from the United States. From expanding capacity to U.S. President Donald Trump's signing of an executive order formally announcing the U.S. withdrawal from the TPP, in March 2017, China and South Korea were invited to participate in the TPP membership meeting. No matter how the economic pattern changes, the inevitable trend of economic development is still economic globalization. With the rapid development of the global economy, trade in services is gradually showing its importance in the world economy. The development level of service trade has become one of the important symbols to measure the international competitiveness of a country. In recent years, China's service trade has developed rapidly, but compared with the developed countries, the development of China's service trade still has a big gap. Therefore, it is necessary to study the development of China's service trade under the background of TPP. By analyzing the development course of TPP, combining the total volume of trade, the RCA index of service trade and the degree of openness of service trade, this paper analyzes the current situation of service trade development between China and the main TPP countries. On the basis of the current research, this paper uses GTAP model to simulate the two situations before and after China's entry into TPP, and probes into the total amount of China's service trade before and after China's entry into TPP and the influence of specific industries. It is concluded that China's entry into TPP will have a positive impact on China's service trade, while China's failure to join TPP will have a negative impact. Based on the relevant theories, current situation and simulation results, some suggestions are put forward: first, to open China's service trade to a greater extent, optimize the industrial structure of service trade, and promote the development of China's service trade; The second is to deepen the negotiation and cooperation of service trade in the Asia-Pacific region by strengthening the cooperation between the countries along Belt and Road and the ASEAN region, and the third is to seek the opportunity to join the TPP in good time and give full play to the positive role of TPP in the development of China's service trade.
【学位授予单位】：广东财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.68;F744
[Abstract]:The Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement) has evolved through expansion and withdrawal from the United States. From expanding capacity to U.S. President Donald Trump's signing of an executive order formally announcing the U.S. withdrawal from the TPP, in March 2017, China and South Korea were invited to participate in the TPP membership meeting. No matter how the economic pattern changes, the inevitable trend of economic development is still economic globalization. With the rapid development of the global economy, trade in services is gradually showing its importance in the world economy. The development level of service trade has become one of the important symbols to measure the international competitiveness of a country. In recent years, China's service trade has developed rapidly, but compared with the developed countries, the development of China's service trade still has a big gap. Therefore, it is necessary to study the development of China's service trade under the background of TPP. By analyzing the development course of TPP, combining the total volume of trade, the RCA index of service trade and the degree of openness of service trade, this paper analyzes the current situation of service trade development between China and the main TPP countries. On the basis of the current research, this paper uses GTAP model to simulate the two situations before and after China's entry into TPP, and probes into the total amount of China's service trade before and after China's entry into TPP and the influence of specific industries. It is concluded that China's entry into TPP will have a positive impact on China's service trade, while China's failure to join TPP will have a negative impact. Based on the relevant theories, current situation and simulation results, some suggestions are put forward: first, to open China's service trade to a greater extent, optimize the industrial structure of service trade, and promote the development of China's service trade; The second is to deepen the negotiation and cooperation of service trade in the Asia-Pacific region by strengthening the cooperation between the countries along Belt and Road and the ASEAN region, and the third is to seek the opportunity to join the TPP in good time and give full play to the positive role of TPP in the development of China's service trade.
【学位授予单位】：广东财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.68;F744
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 赵梦雪;詹花秀;;美国退出TPP对经济全球化可能产生的影响[J];湖南行政学院学报;2017年02期
2 付，
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