中非共和国的经济安全和政治治理危机两阶段工具变量分析
发布时间：2021-07-05 08:57
当前,中非共和国面临巨大的经济动荡。自1960年独立以来,中非共和国一直面临着政治治理危机,这也是导致经济不稳定的主要诱因。本文将通过两阶段工具变量分析和二阶渐近检验来探讨1996-2015期间该国政治治理危机与经济稳定性的相互关联。我们的研究对13个方程进行了评估。每个方程包含两个回归,涉及不同的政治治理指标,而机构治理指标保持不变。考虑到国家内部针对经济安全可能存在不同的衡量标准,我们的变量选择基于先前的文献、中非共和国自身的经济特点、周期性的政治治理危机对经济的影响以及所需数据的充足性。我们共对13个宏观经济总量开展了研究,包括:人均净国民收入、农业原材料出口、农业附加值、商品和服务的外部平衡、粮食出口、粮食进口、外国直接投资、GDP增长、人均GDP增长、通货膨胀、工资和工薪工人、工业附加值、自然资源租金总和及中非共和国贸易。这些用于衡量经济安全的参数取自世界发展指标。在研究中非共和国治理危机时,我们关注Asongu和Nwachukwu（Asongu and Nwachukwu,2017）在政治领导人的选举和更替（以政治稳定/非暴力和发言权及问责制为衡量指标）、协调国家和机构成员...
【文章来源】：浙江大学浙江省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直属院校
【文章页数】：136 页
【学位级别】：博士
【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
摘要
ABSTRACT
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background of the study
1.2 Statement of the Problem
1.3 Research objectives
1.3.1. General Objectives
1.3.2 Specific objectives
1.4. Research Questions
1.4.1 Specific Questions
1.5 Hypothesis
1.6 Methodology
1.7 Significance of the Study
1.8 Structure of the Study
CHAPITRE 2: LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1. Introduction
2.2 Concept and definition of economic security and political governance in CAR
2.3 Democracy and Good Governance-the interplay
2.4 Democratic Participation
2.5 Macro versus Micro issues of political governance
2.6 Overview of CAR's Political and Economic crisis context
2.6.1 Coups d'etats
2.6.2 Rent seeking
2.6.3 Ethnic tensions
2.6.4 Neighbourhoods effect
2.6.5 External shocks
2.6.6 Zaraguinas and former soldiers
2.7 Political governance crisis and some keys macro-economic aggregates
2.8 Political governance and economic crisis in CAR since 1990
2.9 CAR's approaches to political governance Crisis
2.10 CAR's Current economic situation
2.10.1 Economic security
2.10.2 Contemporary thinking on economic security
2.10.3 Nexus between economic and security
2.10.4 The new conceptual approach to economic security
2.10.4.1 Establishing the definition of economic security based on the new conceptualapproach
2.10.5 The objectives typologies of economic security
2.11 Characterizing the Economy Security in CAR
2.12 Government's responsibility for economic security
2.13 Political stability and economic security
2.13.1 Concept of political stability
2.13.2 Peace and stability
2.14 Relation between political stability and economic security
2.15 Political stability and investments
2.16 Political stability and natural resources
CHAPITRE 3: METHODOLOGY
3.1. Data source and sample frame
3.2 Analytical framework of Two-Stage least squares (2SLS) instrumental RegressionAnalysis
3.3 simple regression model
3.4 Instrumental variables
3.4.1 Definition of an Instrument
3.4.2 Examples of the Instrument analysis
3.4.3 Instrumental Variables Estimator
3.5 Two-Stage Least Squares
3.6 Assumptions of two-stage least squares (2sls) regression analysis
3.7 Checking for Validity of Instruments
3.7.1 Checking Instrument Relevance
3.7.2 Checking Instrument Exogeneity
CHAPITER 4: RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
4.1 Time series properties of data
4.2 Descriptive statistics
4.3 Tables of results from two stages regression analyses
CHAPITER 5: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Summary
5.2 conclusions
5.3 Recommendations and Policy Implications
5.4 Innovation Points/Contribution of This Research
5.5 Directions for Future Research
REFERENCES
附录
List of publications published in Zhejiang University
Author's Resume
本文编号：3265770
【文章来源】：浙江大学浙江省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直属院校
【文章页数】：136 页
【学位级别】：博士
【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
摘要
ABSTRACT
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background of the study
1.2 Statement of the Problem
1.3 Research objectives
1.3.1. General Objectives
1.3.2 Specific objectives
1.4. Research Questions
1.4.1 Specific Questions
1.5 Hypothesis
1.6 Methodology
1.7 Significance of the Study
1.8 Structure of the Study
CHAPITRE 2: LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1. Introduction
2.2 Concept and definition of economic security and political governance in CAR
2.3 Democracy and Good Governance-the interplay
2.4 Democratic Participation
2.5 Macro versus Micro issues of political governance
2.6 Overview of CAR's Political and Economic crisis context
2.6.1 Coups d'etats
2.6.2 Rent seeking
2.6.3 Ethnic tensions
2.6.4 Neighbourhoods effect
2.6.5 External shocks
2.6.6 Zaraguinas and former soldiers
2.7 Political governance crisis and some keys macro-economic aggregates
2.8 Political governance and economic crisis in CAR since 1990
2.9 CAR's approaches to political governance Crisis
2.10 CAR's Current economic situation
2.10.1 Economic security
2.10.2 Contemporary thinking on economic security
2.10.3 Nexus between economic and security
2.10.4 The new conceptual approach to economic security
2.10.4.1 Establishing the definition of economic security based on the new conceptualapproach
2.10.5 The objectives typologies of economic security
2.11 Characterizing the Economy Security in CAR
2.12 Government's responsibility for economic security
2.13 Political stability and economic security
2.13.1 Concept of political stability
2.13.2 Peace and stability
2.14 Relation between political stability and economic security
2.15 Political stability and investments
2.16 Political stability and natural resources
CHAPITRE 3: METHODOLOGY
3.1. Data source and sample frame
3.2 Analytical framework of Two-Stage least squares (2SLS) instrumental RegressionAnalysis
3.3 simple regression model
3.4 Instrumental variables
3.4.1 Definition of an Instrument
3.4.2 Examples of the Instrument analysis
3.4.3 Instrumental Variables Estimator
3.5 Two-Stage Least Squares
3.6 Assumptions of two-stage least squares (2sls) regression analysis
3.7 Checking for Validity of Instruments
3.7.1 Checking Instrument Relevance
3.7.2 Checking Instrument Exogeneity
CHAPITER 4: RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
4.1 Time series properties of data
4.2 Descriptive statistics
4.3 Tables of results from two stages regression analyses
CHAPITER 5: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Summary
5.2 conclusions
5.3 Recommendations and Policy Implications
5.4 Innovation Points/Contribution of This Research
5.5 Directions for Future Research
REFERENCES
附录
List of publications published in Zhejiang University
Author's Resume
本文编号：3265770
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