成都等5市洪水事件和细菌性痢疾关联性及滞后效应分析

发布时间：2018-03-28 15:15

  本文选题：洪水事件　切入点：细菌性痢疾　出处：《现代预防医学》2017年17期

【摘要】：目的通过对成都等5市一次洪水事件和细菌性痢疾(菌痢)关联性及滞后效应分析,为洪水事件后菌痢的防控提供更加具体化的策略和措施。方法根据洪水事件的特点选取暴露期、对照期和滞后期,整理暴露期和对照期疾病数据进行统计学分析并计算相对危险度(RR)、归因危险度(AR)以评估洪水事件与菌痢的关系;计算滞后期与对照期洪水事件对菌痢的相对危险度(RR)以确定最佳滞后期。结果达州、广安两地暴露期菌痢罹患率明显高于对照期(P0.05);乐山、雅安、成都三地滞后期菌痢罹患率明显高于对照期(P0.05)。结论洪水事件与菌痢的发生呈正相关,成都等5市有4个不同的最佳滞后期,提示我们针对不同的洪水事件发生地、不同最佳滞后期应采取不同的干预措施。
[Abstract]:Objective to analyze the correlation and lag effect between a flood event and bacillary dysentery in Chengdu and other five cities. To provide more specific strategies and measures for the prevention and control of bacterial dysentery after flood events. Methods according to the characteristics of flood events, the exposure period, control period and lag period were selected. The disease data of exposure period and control period were analyzed statistically and the relative risk (RRN) was calculated to evaluate the relationship between flood events and bacillary dysentery. In order to determine the optimum lag period, the relative risk of flood events in lag period and control period to bacillary dysentery was calculated. Results the attack rate of bacillary dysentery in exposed period in Dazhou and Guangan was significantly higher than that in control period (P 0.05), Leshan, Ya'an, Leshan, Ya'an, The attack rate of dysentery in the three places of Chengdu was significantly higher than that in the control period P0.050.Conclusion Flood events are positively correlated with the occurrence of bacillary dysentery, and there are 4 different optimal periods of lag in five cities, indicating that we aim at different places of flood events. Different intervention measures should be taken for different optimal lag periods.
【作者单位】： 荆州市疾病预防控制中心;山东大学公共卫生学院;
【分类号】：R516.4
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本文编号：1676871