青海地区喜马拉雅旱獭鼠疫风险评估研究

发布时间：2018-06-12 17:52

本文选题：喜马拉雅旱獭鼠疫 + 风险评估　；参考：《中国卫生统计》2015年04期

【摘要】：目的分析青海地区鼠疫时空分布,利用层次分析法(AHP)建立鼠疫风险评估模型并对不同地区鼠疫风险进行评估,为改进鼠疫防治工作提供参考依据。方法收集青海地区2001-2013年鼠疫防治资料,结合当地人口信息,利用AHP模型对青海2001年以后发生动物鼠疫的地区进行鼠疫风险评分。结果在青海地区30个鼠疫疫源县中,9个县区在2001-2013年发生过动物鼠疫疫情,对这9个鼠疫疫源县区进行风险评估,风险排序为乌兰、格尔木、天峻、德令哈、玉树、同仁、称多、祁连、同德。结论青海地区鼠疫在一段时间内将持续存在,风险排序靠前的地区要加强常规监测,强化健康教育提高群众防疫意识,禁止猎捕贩运销售旱獭及其制品,尽早发现并控制鼠疫疫情传播;风险排序靠后的地区要加强流动监测。
[Abstract]:Objective to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution of plague in Qinghai, and to establish a risk assessment model of plague by using AHP (Analytic hierarchy process), and to evaluate the risk of plague in different areas, so as to provide a reference for improving the prevention and control of plague. Methods the data of plague prevention and control in Qinghai from 2001 to 2013 were collected and the risk of plague was evaluated by AHP model. Results among the 30 plague source counties in Qinghai area, 9 counties had animal plague epidemic situation from 2001 to 2013. The risk order of the nine plague source counties was Wu Lan, Golmud, Tianjun, Delingha, Yushu, colleagues, and so on, and the order of risk was Wu Lan, Golmud, Tianjun, Delingha, Yushu, colleagues, etc. Qilian, Tongde. Conclusion Yersinia pestis will persist in Qinghai for a period of time. In the areas with higher risk ranking, it is necessary to strengthen routine monitoring, strengthen health education and raise the awareness of epidemic prevention among the masses, and prohibit hunting and trafficking in marmot and its products. To detect and control the spread of plague as soon as possible, and to strengthen mobile surveillance in areas with lower risk ranking.
【作者单位】：青海省海西州疾病预防控制中心;青海省地方病预防控制所;青海省海南州疾病预防控制中心;青海省玉树州疾病预防控制中心;
【分类号】：R516.8

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