连云港市手足口病发病趋势与气候温度关系的研究

发布时间：2019-01-07 12:51

【摘要】：目的探讨手足口病发病趋势与气候温度的关系,为手足口病防控提供依据。方法从中国疾病预防控制信息系统、连云港气象局分别收集整理手足口病发病数据和气候温度数据,用R3.1.2分别作手足口病发病趋势图和气候温度变化图,对比研究两者之间的关系。结果手足口病发病趋势图呈现双峰,在第一峰出现之前,手足口病呈低水平发病;第一个峰起点出现的时间不一定,一般在外界环境平均温度达10℃以上时出现,在达到16℃左右时,手足口病发病呈直线上升,并在22周左右出现出现峰值,此时气候温度在24℃左右,但气候手足口病发病呈现下降趋势,在经过气候最高温度后达到终点;第一个峰的峰值远远大于第二个峰。结论手足口病第一峰一般在气候温度达到10℃以上出现,可以作为手足口病防控的一个参考标准。根据本文研究结果及相关文献得出假设:气候温度适合儿童进行室外活动时,接触肠道病毒的风险增高,手足口病发病增多;而若是气候温度不适合儿童活动时,则手足口病发病较少。
[Abstract]:Objective to explore the relationship between the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) and the climate temperature, and to provide evidence for the prevention and control of HFMD. Methods from the China Disease Prevention and Control Information system, Lianyungang Meteorological Bureau collected and collated the HFMD incidence data and climate temperature data, and used R3.1.2 to make the HFMD incidence trend map and climate temperature change map, respectively. A comparative study of the relationship between the two. Results the trend map of HFMD showed two peaks, and before the first peak appeared, HFMD showed a low level of incidence. The time at which the first peak appeared was not certain. It generally appeared when the average ambient temperature was more than 10 鈩，

本文编号：2403679