张掖地区气候因素与麻疹发病的相关性

发布时间：2019-05-14 13:56

【摘要】：[目的]研究张掖地区气候因素与麻疹发病的关系。[方法]收集张掖地区1976—2005年气象资料、1976—2000年沙尘资料[上游西北风向酒泉市、金塔县沙尘资料(1989—2000年)],及对应时间该地区麻疹发病数据;运用SPSS软件进行年、月、季节相关分析,探讨气象条件、沙尘天气与麻疹发病的关系。[结果](1)1976—2005年,张掖地区气候向暖湿方向变化,气温增长率和降水增长率分别为0.571℃/10年和9.8 mm/10年。(2)麻疹为张掖地区高发病种,具春季高发特点。(3)张掖地区平均风速与麻疹发病人数具有正相关。而平均气温、降水、平均气压与麻疹发病无显著相关性。(4)张掖地区及其上游地区(酒泉市及金塔县)的沙尘天气与张掖地区麻疹发病呈正相关。[结论]张掖地区平均风速、沙尘天气与麻疹发病率呈现正相关。风速的增大,沙尘天气的频发,为麻疹病毒的传播提供了有利条件的传播条件,可能加大该病的传播。
[Abstract]:Objective to study the relationship between climatic factors and measles incidence in Zhangye area. [methods] the meteorological data from 1976 to 2005 and the dust data from 1976 to 2000 in Zhangye area were collected [sand dust data from upstream northwest wind to Jiuquan City, Jinta County (1989-2000)], and the data of measles incidence in this area at the corresponding time. Annual, monthly and seasonal correlation analysis was carried out by SPSS software to explore the relationship between meteorological conditions, sand and dust weather and measles incidence. [results] (1) from 1976 to 2005, the climate in Zhangye area changed towards warm and humid direction, and the growth rate of temperature and precipitation were 0.571 鈩，

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