禽流感对农户养殖收入的影响及其差异分析

发布时间：2018-06-02 05:38

本文选题：禽流感 + 农户　；参考：《湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年04期

【摘要】：基于中国农村固定观察点系统的大样本数据,分析了2004 2012年禽流感对农户养殖收入的总效应,并采用平衡面板数据的滞后三期数据分析禽流感影响的滞后性,选择多个指标多层次多角度分析禽流感在空间上对农户养殖收入的影响,同时根据农户是否拥有家禽养殖专用性资产分析禽流感对农户养殖收入影响的差异。结果显示:禽流感对农户养殖收入造成了较大的负面冲击;从影响深度上看,这种冲击不仅影响了农户当年的养殖收入也影响到了后几年的养殖收入;从影响广度上看,这种冲击是以疫地为圆心,呈网状辐射;不同规模养禽农户由于拥有的家禽养殖专用性资产不同,受到疫情的影响程度存在较大差异。
[Abstract]:Based on the large sample data of fixed observation point system in rural China, the total effect of avian influenza on farmers' farming income in 2004 and 2012 was analyzed, and the lag effect of avian influenza was analyzed by using the three lag data of balance panel data. The effects of avian influenza on farmers' farming income were analyzed by selecting multiple indexes, and the differences of avian influenza on farmers' farming income were analyzed according to whether the farmers owned special assets for poultry farming. The results show that avian flu has a great negative impact on farmers' farming income. From the depth of the impact, this impact not only affects the farmers' aquaculture income in the current year but also affects the breeding income in the following years, and from the perspective of the breadth of the impact, This kind of impact is centered in epidemic land, and it is net radiation, and the different scale poultry farmers have different special assets for poultry breeding, so the impact degree of the epidemic situation is quite different.
【作者单位】：南京农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71573130)
【分类号】：F323.8;S855.3

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