基于TOPSIS和灰色关联度的新疆优势产业评价研究
发布时间：2019-03-11 08:50
【摘要】：优势产业对区域经济的发展和产业结构的优化有着至关重要的作用，在19省市对口支援新疆这样一个大的历史机遇下，新疆如何确立自身的优势产业，合理利用兄弟省份提供的资金、人才、技术等资源是能否实现跨越式发展的前提。而优势产业不仅强调资源的丰裕度的原始状态，更重要的是通过技术创新对比较优势充分开发利用，进而具有产业竞争力。如何提高新疆优势产业的竞争力，本文从技术创新、技术效率和产业集群等方面进行分析比较，以期通过技术创新能力和产业集群的不断发展完善，培育出既体现出新疆资源特色又真正具有竞争力的优势产业，为新疆经济的发展和产业结构的优化升级提供强大的动力，实现新疆资源大省、经济强省的目的。 本文首先以新疆36个工业行业作为进行优势产业选择评价的对象，利用区位商法，对其比较优势进行分析。根据区位商得分情况判断这36个工业行业是否具有比较优势。最终结合区位商得分及新疆的资源禀赋情况，得到优势产业的粗选结果。根据粗选结果，本文利用多属性决策方法TOPSIS法，并结合灰色关联度法，对新疆的优势产业的产业竞争力进行评价分析。将粗选的14个工业行业作为决策的备选方案，建立指标体系，通过TOPSIS和灰色关联计算其综合贴近度，来对产业竞争力进行排名。本文利用多属性决策的目的是为了选出工业行业中竞争力最强的产业，也就是最优方案。综合比较优势和竞争优势的评价结果，将石油和天然气开采业，石油加工炼焦及核燃料加工业，化学纤维制造业和化学原料与化学制品制造业，有色金属矿采选业、煤炭开采和洗选业、黑色金属矿采选业和黑色金属冶炼及延压加工业作为新疆的优势产业。并从产业竞争力的核心因素—技术创新能力和产业集中程度对遴选出的优势产业进行分析比较，针对分析的结果，提出发展方向和对策建议。 本文具体研究内容由以下几方面组成： （1）对国内外关于优势产业和产业技术创新的研究现状进行梳理，并对优势产业的概念、特征及评价方法等进行归纳总结，进而界定本文优势产业的内涵。对评价方法，评价对象的范围进行比较选取。 （2）利用区位商法对新疆的工业行业进行粗选，将区位商大于或非常接近1(0.75)的行业作为进行产业竞争力评价的对象；建立指标体系，对粗选后的结果利用灰色关联法和逼近理想法(topsis)相结合的方法进行产业竞争优势评价，最终选出新疆的优势产业。 （3）根据选出的结果，结合提高新疆产业竞争力的关键动力，从技术创新的角度和产业集群视角对新疆优势产业进行分析研究，，从而提出新疆优势产业发展方向。 （4）结合新疆的实际情况和发展方向的需要，从提高产业技术创新能力和构建、优化产业集群两个方面提出相应的对策建议，以保证新疆优势产业真正实现其价值。
[Abstract]:The dominant industry plays an important role in the development of regional economy and the optimization of industrial structure. Under the historical opportunity of supporting Xinjiang with 19 provinces and cities, how to establish Xinjiang's own advantageous industry? Reasonable utilization of the funds, talents, technology and other resources provided by the brother provinces is the premise of the leap-forward development. The dominant industry not only emphasizes the original state of the abundance of resources, but also makes full use of the comparative advantage through technological innovation so as to have the competitiveness of the industry. How to improve the competitiveness of the superior industries in Xinjiang, this paper analyzes and compares the technological innovation, technical efficiency and industrial cluster, with a view to improving the technological innovation ability and the continuous development of the industrial cluster. In order to provide a powerful impetus for the development of Xinjiang's economy and the optimization and upgrading of its industrial structure, it is necessary to cultivate an advantageous industry which not only embodies the characteristics of Xinjiang's resources but also is truly competitive, so as to realize the purpose of Xinjiang's large resource province and strong economic province. In this paper, 36 industrial industries in Xinjiang are selected and evaluated, and their comparative advantages are analyzed by using location quotient method. Judging whether these 36 industrial industries have comparative advantages according to the score of location quotient. Finally, combining the score of location quotient and the resource endowment of Xinjiang, the rough selection results of dominant industries are obtained. According to the results of rough selection, this paper evaluates and analyzes the industrial competitiveness of the dominant industries in Xinjiang by using the method of multi-attribute decision-making (TOPSIS) and the method of grey correlation degree. The rough selection of 14 industrial industries is taken as the alternative scheme for decision-making, and the index system is established. The comprehensive proximity degree of 14 industries is calculated by TOPSIS and grey correlation to rank the industrial competitiveness. In this paper, the purpose of multi-attribute decision-making is to select the most competitive industry in the industrial industry, that is, the optimal scheme. According to the evaluation results of comparative advantage and competitive advantage, the petroleum and natural gas mining industry, the petroleum processing coking and nuclear fuel processing industry, the chemical fiber manufacturing industry and the chemical raw material and chemical products manufacturing industry, the non-ferrous metal mining industry, Coal mining and washing industry, ferrous metal mining and processing industry, ferrous metal smelting and press processing industry as the dominant industry in Xinjiang. And from the core factors of industrial competitiveness-technological innovation ability and industrial concentration degree of the selected advantage industries are analyzed and compared, according to the results of the analysis, the development direction and countermeasures are put forward. The specific research content of this paper is composed of the following aspects: (1) combing the domestic and foreign research status on the dominant industry and industrial technological innovation, and summarizing the concept, characteristics and evaluation methods of the superior industry, and so on. And then define the connotation of the dominant industry in this paper. The evaluation method and the scope of the evaluation object are compared and selected. (2) making use of the location quotient law to select the industrial industry in Xinjiang, and taking the industry whose location quotient is greater than or very close to 1 (0.75) as the object to evaluate the industrial competitiveness; The index system is established and the result of rough selection is evaluated by combining grey correlation method and approximation theory (topsis) method. Finally, the dominant industry of Xinjiang is selected. (3) according to the result of the selection, combining with the key driving force to improve the competitiveness of Xinjiang industry, this paper analyzes and studies the dominant industry in Xinjiang from the angle of technological innovation and industrial cluster, and then puts forward the direction of development of the dominant industry in Xinjiang. (4) according to the actual situation of Xinjiang and the need of development direction, this paper puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions from two aspects of improving the ability and construction of industrial technology innovation, optimizing the industrial cluster, in order to ensure the real realization of the value of the dominant industry in Xinjiang.
【学位授予单位】：新疆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F279.27;F224
本文编号：2438144
[Abstract]:The dominant industry plays an important role in the development of regional economy and the optimization of industrial structure. Under the historical opportunity of supporting Xinjiang with 19 provinces and cities, how to establish Xinjiang's own advantageous industry? Reasonable utilization of the funds, talents, technology and other resources provided by the brother provinces is the premise of the leap-forward development. The dominant industry not only emphasizes the original state of the abundance of resources, but also makes full use of the comparative advantage through technological innovation so as to have the competitiveness of the industry. How to improve the competitiveness of the superior industries in Xinjiang, this paper analyzes and compares the technological innovation, technical efficiency and industrial cluster, with a view to improving the technological innovation ability and the continuous development of the industrial cluster. In order to provide a powerful impetus for the development of Xinjiang's economy and the optimization and upgrading of its industrial structure, it is necessary to cultivate an advantageous industry which not only embodies the characteristics of Xinjiang's resources but also is truly competitive, so as to realize the purpose of Xinjiang's large resource province and strong economic province. In this paper, 36 industrial industries in Xinjiang are selected and evaluated, and their comparative advantages are analyzed by using location quotient method. Judging whether these 36 industrial industries have comparative advantages according to the score of location quotient. Finally, combining the score of location quotient and the resource endowment of Xinjiang, the rough selection results of dominant industries are obtained. According to the results of rough selection, this paper evaluates and analyzes the industrial competitiveness of the dominant industries in Xinjiang by using the method of multi-attribute decision-making (TOPSIS) and the method of grey correlation degree. The rough selection of 14 industrial industries is taken as the alternative scheme for decision-making, and the index system is established. The comprehensive proximity degree of 14 industries is calculated by TOPSIS and grey correlation to rank the industrial competitiveness. In this paper, the purpose of multi-attribute decision-making is to select the most competitive industry in the industrial industry, that is, the optimal scheme. According to the evaluation results of comparative advantage and competitive advantage, the petroleum and natural gas mining industry, the petroleum processing coking and nuclear fuel processing industry, the chemical fiber manufacturing industry and the chemical raw material and chemical products manufacturing industry, the non-ferrous metal mining industry, Coal mining and washing industry, ferrous metal mining and processing industry, ferrous metal smelting and press processing industry as the dominant industry in Xinjiang. And from the core factors of industrial competitiveness-technological innovation ability and industrial concentration degree of the selected advantage industries are analyzed and compared, according to the results of the analysis, the development direction and countermeasures are put forward. The specific research content of this paper is composed of the following aspects: (1) combing the domestic and foreign research status on the dominant industry and industrial technological innovation, and summarizing the concept, characteristics and evaluation methods of the superior industry, and so on. And then define the connotation of the dominant industry in this paper. The evaluation method and the scope of the evaluation object are compared and selected. (2) making use of the location quotient law to select the industrial industry in Xinjiang, and taking the industry whose location quotient is greater than or very close to 1 (0.75) as the object to evaluate the industrial competitiveness; The index system is established and the result of rough selection is evaluated by combining grey correlation method and approximation theory (topsis) method. Finally, the dominant industry of Xinjiang is selected. (3) according to the result of the selection, combining with the key driving force to improve the competitiveness of Xinjiang industry, this paper analyzes and studies the dominant industry in Xinjiang from the angle of technological innovation and industrial cluster, and then puts forward the direction of development of the dominant industry in Xinjiang. (4) according to the actual situation of Xinjiang and the need of development direction, this paper puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions from two aspects of improving the ability and construction of industrial technology innovation, optimizing the industrial cluster, in order to ensure the real realization of the value of the dominant industry in Xinjiang.
【学位授予单位】：新疆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F279.27;F224
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