IFAD中国项目精准脱贫绩效评价:基于农民人均收入视角

发布时间：2018-03-21 04:19

本文选题：联合国IFAD　切入点：项目绩效评价　出处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于课题组在7省区1 356农户的调查问卷数据,采用双差分析模型对IFAD项目的扶贫绩效进行了测度;选用人均纯收入作为贫困代理指标,并采用倾向得分匹配法对项目干预的净效应进行了分析,分别采用核匹配和半径匹配(0.001)方法测算了项目的干预效果,定量评价了联合国IFAD中国项目对项目区受益人精准脱贫的实际贡献。研究结果显示:1IFAD项目脱贫效果显著:IFAD项目的实施对项目区贫困农户脱贫率的净贡献为18.71%,由于IFAD项目实施而摆脱贫困的受益人总数达到80.746万人,其中直接受益人46.113 7万人,间接受益人为34.632 3万人;2从收入结构来看,IFAD项目干预对贫困农户种植业收入增长的影响最大:采用Di D、包含控制变量的Di D、加权最小二乘Di D和PSM方法分析的结果显示,IFAD项目实施使项目受益人的种植业收入人均增长了1 031.15元,且在0.05的水平上显著;3从家庭特征来看,市场便捷程度和户主学历对IFAD项目干预效果的影响最大。基于以上研究结论,本文提出了旨在提高IFAD中国项目脱贫绩效的政策建议:1应充分发挥联合国IFAD项目精准脱贫的示范效应;2加快贫困地区农业产业结构升级以优化贫困户的收入结构;3进一步加强贫困地区道路和教育等基础设施建设。
[Abstract]:Based on the questionnaire data of 1 356 rural households in 7 provinces and regions, this paper uses the double difference analysis model to measure the poverty alleviation performance of the IFAD project, and selects the per capita net income as the poverty proxy index. The net effect of the project intervention was analyzed by the tendency score matching method, and the effect of the project intervention was calculated by using the kernel matching method and the radius matching method respectively. This paper quantitatively evaluates the actual contribution of the United Nations IFAD China project to the accurate poverty eradication of the beneficiaries of the project area. The results show that the effect of the project on poverty eradication is significant. The net contribution of the implementation of the project to the poverty eradication rate of the poor farmers in the project area is 18.71. The total number of beneficiaries out of poverty under the IFAD program is 807,460. Of these, 461,137 are direct beneficiaries, The indirect beneficiary is 346,323 people. According to the income structure, the impact of the project intervention on the income growth of the poor farmers is the greatest: using Di D, including the control variable Di D, weighted least square D D and PSM method. The results show that the implementation of IFAD project has increased the per capita income of the beneficiaries of the project by 1,031.15 yuan. And at the level of 0.05, the influence of market convenience and head of household education on the intervention effect of IFAD project is the most significant in terms of household characteristics. This paper puts forward some policy suggestions aimed at improving the performance of the IFAD China project in poverty eradication. (2) We should give full play to the demonstration effect of the United Nations IFAD project on the precise poverty eradication and accelerate the upgrading of the agricultural industrial structure in poor areas in order to optimize the income structure of the poor households. We will further strengthen the construction of road and education infrastructure in poor areas.
【作者单位】：中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“生态环境和地质灾害孕贫机制与减贫策略研究——以三峡库区为例”(批准号:71473231) 联合国重大国际合作项目“基于计量经济学方法的联合国IFAD中国项目影响评估”(批准号:2014087001)
【分类号】：F323.8

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