PPP模式下城市水环境基础设施项目风险研究

发布时间：2018-03-30 09:32

本文选题：PPP　切入点：城市水环境基础设施　出处：《西安石油大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着新型城镇化的推进,国内推广应用公私合营(PPP)模式的热情高涨,然而PPP模式特殊的组织结构和项目本身的特殊性、PPP项目风险因素的繁杂多变性以及PPP项目所处环境的动态性决定了风险不可避免地存在于项目全生命周期内。因此,PPP项目的风险评价与风险分担在基础设施PPP项目过程中对目标和绩效的实现至关重要,那么在整个项目生命周期中如何进行风险识别和风险评价,如何分担政府部门、私人部门、运营方等各主体之间的风险责任,是目前政府、金融机构等关注的焦点问题。本文在问卷调查的基础上,结合城市水环境基础设施的特点设计PPP项目风险评价指标体系,采用模糊层次分析法构建了基础设施的风险评价模型,并以西安经开草滩污水处理厂项目为例构建了7个一级风险因素指标和36个二级风险因素指标评价体系,最后通过算例分析求得了该项目风险水平的得分,结果表明西安经开草滩污水处理厂项目的风险水平为中等偏上;同时验证了风险评价模型较强的应用性,为PPP项目的风险决策和管理提供了准确的参考依据。
[Abstract]:With the development of new urbanization, the enthusiasm of popularizing and applying PPPmodel in China is rising. However, the special organizational structure of the PPP model and the particularity of the project itself make the risk factors of the PPP project complex and changeable, and the dynamic nature of the environment in which the PPP project is located, which determines that the risk inevitably exists in the whole life cycle of the project. The risk assessment and risk sharing of this PPP project is very important to the achievement of objectives and performance in the process of infrastructure PPP project. Well, how to carry out risk identification and risk assessment throughout the life cycle of the project, and how to share the risk responsibility among government departments, the private sector, operators and so on, is the current government. Based on the questionnaire survey and the characteristics of urban water environment infrastructure, this paper designs the risk evaluation index system of PPP project, and constructs the risk evaluation model of infrastructure by using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP). Taking the project of Xi'an Jingcaotan sewage treatment Plant as an example, the evaluation system of 7 first-grade risk factor indexes and 36 second-level risk factor indexes is constructed. Finally, the score of the project risk level is obtained by the example analysis. The results show that the risk level of Xi'an Jingcaotan sewage treatment Plant project is moderate and the application of risk assessment model is strong, which provides an accurate reference for the risk decision and management of PPP project.
【学位授予单位】：西安石油大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：X703;F283

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