区域EEES耦合系统演化机理与协同发展研究

发布时间：2018-12-21 21:08

【摘要】：资源刚性约束、生态渐次失衡、环境日益恶化已打破区域、国家的界限,演变成全球性问题。我国作为主要的经济大国和政治大国,经济的快速增长再不能以生态、资源、环境为代价。本文作为国家软科学课题(编号2009GXS1D019)的主要研究成果,针对区域生态环境经济社会(Ecology-Environment-Economy-Society,简称EEES)耦合系统演化机理及协同发展开展研究。论文以多学科理论和技术为支撑,综合运用多种研究方法,贯穿系统化分层的思路。其开展的主要工作、创新性探索及结论如下: 第一,阐述了区域EEES系统的要素、特征、功能,子系统间的耦合关系、耦合原则、耦合效应和耦合模式。认为区域EEES耦合系统由人口、环境、科技、信息、制度等要素组成,人口是耦合的主体,环境是耦合的基础,科技与信息是耦合的重要中介和桥梁,制度是耦合的催化剂;系统具有整体性共生、开放动态、复杂不确定、自组织和他组织等特征;系统功能是保障物质流、能量流、信息流、人口流和价值流“五流”的高效运转,实现生态、经济、社会“三效益”协同;目标是在耦合原则和协同模式、整合模式、利益模式等耦合模式的指导下产生正合作效应。第二,建立Logistic方程、耦合熵变模型、协同发展序参量模型,从三个维度分析了区域EEES耦合系统的演化机理。运用Logistic曲线方程将耦合系统演化模式分为倒退型、循环型、停滞型和组合Logistic增长型;导入耦合熵的概念,建立了耦合熵计算方程,将耦合熵细化为耦合规模熵、耦合速度熵、耦合结构熵,并给出了相应的计算公式;建立了四个子系统多个序参量的协同发展模型。第三,综合运用DEA模型和模糊数学理论,从纵向和横向两层面入手,评价了内蒙古EEES耦合系统协同发展状态。纵向结果表明内蒙古90-92年、95-96、99、01-04、07-08年后几个时间段内系统综合有效;93、98、06年协同有效、发展非有效;94、97、00、05年协同非有效、且发展非有效;横向结果表明内蒙古EEES耦合系统协同发展状况在全国31个地区中居第四类,协同发展综合效度仅为0.5146,处于初级协同状态,资源投入、环境投入冗余率高,未来应积极采取协同发展模式。第四,从战略层面、路径选择和实施措施三个层次阐述了内蒙古EEES耦合系统协同发展对策。战略层面应构建科技支撑下的生态经济功能区,导入耦合分区原则进行治理;路径选择上应立足产业的生态化转型,耦合生态旅游和产业旅游,构建“大金三角”和“小金三角”产业旅游区;实施层面提出生态移民过程中创业园、安居园、培训园的“三园互动”机制,避免落后地区产生习得性困境。
[Abstract]:The rigid constraint of resources, the gradual imbalance of ecology and the deterioration of environment have broken the boundaries of regions and countries and become global problems. As a major economic and political power, China's rapid economic growth can no longer be at the cost of ecology, resources and environment. As the main research result of the National soft Science Project (2009GXS1D019), this paper studies the evolution mechanism and cooperative development of the coupled system of regional eco-environmental, economic and social (Ecology-Environment-Economy-Society,), economic and social (EEES). Based on multi-disciplinary theory and technology, this paper comprehensively applies many kinds of research methods and runs through systematic and stratified thinking. The main work, innovative exploration and conclusions are as follows: first, the elements, characteristics, functions, coupling relations, coupling principles, coupling effects and coupling modes of regional EEES system are expounded. The regional EEES coupling system is composed of population, environment, science and technology, information, system and so on. Population is the main body of coupling, environment is the basis of coupling, science and technology and information are the important intermediary and bridge of coupling, and institution is the catalyst of coupling. The system has the characteristics of overall symbiosis, open dynamic, complex uncertainty, self-organization and other organization. The function of the system is to ensure the efficient operation of the "five flows" of material flow, energy flow, information flow, population flow and value flow, and to realize the coordination of ecological, economic and social "three benefits"; The aim is to produce positive cooperative effect under the guidance of coupling principle and cooperative mode, integration mode, benefit mode and so on. Secondly, the Logistic equation, the coupling entropy model and the cooperative development order parameter model are established, and the evolution mechanism of the regional EEES coupling system is analyzed from three dimensions. The coupled system evolution model is divided into retrogressive type, cyclic type, stagnation type and combined Logistic growth type by using Logistic curve equation. By introducing the concept of coupling entropy, the calculation equation of coupling entropy is established. The coupling entropy is divided into coupling entropy of scale, coupling entropy of velocity, entropy of coupling structure, and the corresponding calculation formula is given. The cooperative development model of four subsystems with multiple order parameters is established. Thirdly, based on the DEA model and fuzzy mathematics theory, the cooperative development state of EEES coupling system in Inner Mongolia is evaluated from the vertical and horizontal levels. The longitudinal results show that the system is effective in the period of 90-92, 95-96-01-04-04-07-08 in Inner Mongolia, the synergistic effect in 930.98, the development is not effective in 2006, the synergy is not effective in 94-97-00, and the development is not effective in 2005. The horizontal results show that the cooperative development of Inner Mongolia EEES coupling system is the fourth category in 31 regions of the country. The comprehensive validity of cooperative development is only 0.5146, which is in the primary synergistic state, with high redundancy rate of resource input and environmental input. In the future, we should actively adopt the cooperative development model. Fourth, from the strategic level, path selection and implementation measures, this paper expounds the cooperative development countermeasures of Inner Mongolia EEES coupling system. At the strategic level, the ecological and economic functional areas supported by science and technology should be constructed, and the principles of coupling zoning should be introduced to govern; The choice of path should be based on the ecological transformation of industry, coupling ecotourism with industrial tourism, and constructing "Big Golden Triangle" and "small Golden Triangle" industrial tourism area. At the implementation level, the mechanism of "three gardens interaction" is put forward in the process of ecological migration, such as start-up park, settlement garden and training garden, so as to avoid the acquisition dilemma in backward areas.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2011
【分类号】：G322;F224

【相似文献】