人民币汇率变动对中国石化行业的影响及对策建议

发布时间：2018-01-01 13:19

本文关键词：人民币汇率变动对中国石化行业的影响及对策建议　出处：《山东大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：我国于2005年7月开始实施人民币汇率机制改革,至今改革己进行了很多年,我国人民币对美国汇率基本保持在维持稳定的状态,只是发生一些小幅度的变化而己,总体上看仍是处于稳定、可控状态。中国加入世贸组织后,我国的对外贸易发展份额所占的比重越来越大,但是,由于我国人民币的升值带来的贸易顺差也在不断的加大中。以往的国家收支理论并不适用于现代社会的贸易发展,因此必须另辟道路从新的角度来分析解释。本文的研究立足于汇率不完全传递理论,同时具体结合我国对外贸易企业微观定价行为,在充分调研的基础上寻找我国石化出口企业由于汇率变化带来的影响,这种影响包括对机制的影响和具体影响深度,分析了人民币汇率调整对石油石化企业生产成本、产品价格、公司价值和企业竞争力的影响,在分析和研究各种金融工具的基础上,提出了石油石化企业管理汇率风险的策略。本文的研究不但对拓展汇率政策的有效性研究具有理论意义,而且对中国石化企业如何应对汇率政策、贸易政策所带来的汇率风险都有重要的现实意义。本文的研究主要围绕着我国石化行业这个主体展开,将这个研究主体置于人民币汇率变动这个外部环境下来展开分析。首先在问题的提出方面,通过选题的背景和选题意义来进行说明,并对本文研究方法、研究思路和主要研究内容进行介绍。然后,在此基础上对人民币汇率变动的相关理论进行分析,构成本文研究的基础理论体系。在此基础上,结合我国外贸行业和石化行业的发展历程、现状及其存在的问题进行分析,以此构成本文研究的现实基础。接下来,进行本文的研究重点,进行研究的实证分析。最后根据实证分析所获得的结论,提出相关的建议。通过本文的研究发现,人民币汇率变动对我国石化行业的影响存在着行业上的差异和进出口方面的差异,并且这种差异也表现在量方面的差异。所以,对于我国石化行业而言需要在这种全新的环境下努力提高自身竞争力、加强市场机制的建立来推动我国石化行业的发展,以此才能更好的应对外界环境的变化。
[Abstract]:China began to implement the reform of the RMB exchange rate mechanism in July 2005, since the reform has been done for many years, China's RMB exchange rate remained on the United States in maintaining the stability of the state, just changed small and have, on the whole is still in a stable and controllable state. Chinese after joining the WTO, an increasing proportion of our country the development of foreign trade share is bigger, but because of China's RMB appreciation brings trade surplus is constantly increasing. The national income theory does not apply to the modern social development of trade, so it must be another way to explain from a new perspective. This study based on incomplete exchange rate at the same time, the specific transfer theory, combined with China's foreign trade enterprises pricing for our petrochemical export enterprises due to the impact of exchange rate changes on the basis of full investigation, These effects include the impact on mechanism and the specific impact depth, analysis of the RMB exchange rate adjustment on the cost of production, petroleum and petrochemical enterprise product prices, affect the company's value and competitiveness of enterprises, based on the analysis and research of various financial instruments, the petroleum and petrochemical enterprises to manage the exchange rate risk strategy. This research is not only effective research to expand the exchange rate policy has theoretical significance, but also how to deal with the exchange rate policy of Sinopec, has important practical significance to bring the trade policy of exchange rate risk.
This paper mainly revolves around the main body of China's petrochemical industry, this research subject in the analysis of the change of RMB exchange rate down the external environment. In the first problem, through the background and significance of the topic to carry out instructions, and method of this study, research ideas and research content are introduced. Then, analysis of the theory on the basis of the change of RMB exchange rate, constitute the basic theory system of this paper. On this basis, combined with the development of China's foreign trade industry and petrochemical industry, current situation and existing problems were analyzed, so as to form the realistic basis of this study. Then, the research focus of this paper, empirical analysis study. Finally, according to the empirical analysis of the conclusions, puts forward related suggestions. This paper shows that the RMB exchange rate change The influence of China's petrochemical industry there are differences on the industry and the import and export, and this difference is also reflected differences in quantity. Therefore, for China's petrochemical industry need to work hard to improve their competitiveness in the new environment, strengthen the establishment of market mechanism to promote the development of China's petrochemical industry the change in order to better respond to the external environment.

【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.722;F832.6

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