制造业结构优化的技术进步路径选择——基于动态面板的经验分析

发布时间：2018-01-02 05:10

本文关键词：制造业结构优化的技术进步路径选择——基于动态面板的经验分析　出处：《中国工业经济》2014年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：借鉴OECD制造业分类法将制造业分为高端、中端和低端技术产业三类,利用1999—2012年数据分析发现,中国制造业结构的合理化和高度化在全国层面和区域层面均不对称。理论上,不同技术进步路径对制造业结构合理化和高度化的影响机理与作用不尽相同。运用两步稳健系统GMM进行估计发现,自主创新促进制造业结构趋于合理但不能促进其升级:外资不会自动发生技术溢出优化制造业的结构。进一步实证检验发现制造业结构优化的技术进步路径:在消化吸收外资技术基础上的自主创新能促进制造业结构的高度化与合理化,但通过利用外资引进先进技术寻求高端产业核心技术创新能力的突破,制造业结构升级才会伴随高附加值化;提高本地产业技术能力,外资才会发生技术溢出促进制造业结构升级并趋于合理,提升高端产业核心技术创新的能力才能促使外资转移先进技术,进而促进制造业结构升级并实现高附加值化;同时,加快推进市场化进程,制造业结构升级且实现中高端产业高附加值化,生产要素才能通过结构转换促使结构不断趋于合理。
[Abstract]:From the OECD manufacturing industry classification of manufacturing industry is divided into high-end and low-end technology industry, end of three, from 1999 to 2012 data analysis found that Chinese manufacturing rationalization of industry structure and height at the national level and regional level are asymmetric. In theory, the different technological progress path of manufacturing industry structure rationalization and the height of the impact mechanism and effect is not the same. By two step robust system GMM estimation, independent innovation and promote the manufacturing industry structure tends to be reasonable but not to promote the upgrading of Technology Spillover: structural optimization of manufacturing foreign investment will not happen automatically. Further empirical test showed that the manufacturing path of technological progress can promote the industry structure optimization: height the structure of the manufacturing industry and the reasonable absorption of foreign technology on the basis of independent innovation in the digestion, but through the use of foreign capital to introduce advanced technology for the core technology of high-end industry innovation can The breakthrough, the upgrade will be accompanied by high value-added manufacturing industry structure; improve the technical ability of local industry, foreign technology spillovers occur promote the industry structure upgrade and more reasonable, promote foreign advanced technology transfer of high-end industrial core technology innovation ability in order to enhance and promote the manufacturing industry structure upgrading and realize high added value; at the same time and accelerate the process of marketization, the manufacturing industry structure upgrade and achieve high-end high value-added industries, production factors can promote the structural transfer structure is more reasonable.

【作者单位】：广州大学经济与统计学院;江西财经大学《当代财经》杂志社;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目“外资技术溢出影响经济增长方式转变研究”(批准号71173074) 湖南省自然科学基金项目“模仿效应、非模仿效应与经济增长质量”(批准号12JJ3075) 国家社会科学基金青年项目“过剩条件下促进经济适度发展的结构优化理论与对策研究”(批准号13CJL015)
【分类号】：F424.3;F121.3
【正文快照】： 一、问题提出在改革开放中,凭借廉价劳动力、土地、原材料等优势,初级要素专业化的产业发展战略成功推动了中国经济持续高速增长,但是中国企业在国际分工中主要承担劳动密集型、低附加值的生产制造或组装环节,处于全球价值链的低端;特别是工资及土地、能源、原材料价格随着经

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