广东生产性服务业与装备制造业互动发展实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-08 14:23

本文关键词：广东生产性服务业与装备制造业互动发展实证研究　出处：《华南理工大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来，广东经济快速增长，产业升级初见成效，已全面进入经济社会发展转型期。作为广东战略性产业的生产性服务业和装备制造业，其发展水平对促进广东经济发展方式转变、现代产业体系构建和产业国际竞争力提高都具有重大的影响。同时制造业是生产性服务业逐渐发展壮大的有力支撑，装备制造业是制造业的先进部门，对生产性服务业中技术和知识密集行业的发展有着较大的推动作用。而生产性服务业不仅作为中间投入在满足装备制造业发展需求，而且能加快装备制造业的优化升级进程，两个产业之间出现显著互动和融合趋势。因此，研究广东生产性服务业和装备制造业的互动关系有着重要的意义。本文首先从社会分工、交易成本、产业关联、价值链理论对产业互动进行理论分析，同时，分析不同互动发展阶段两个产业之间的关系，叙述了国内外研究生产性服务业和制造业互动的主要文献，总结了目前关于产业互动实证结论；其次，分析广东生产性服务业与装备制造业现状，为证明生产性服务业与装备制造业存在互动提供现实依据；再次，实证分析广东生产性服务业与装备制造的互动关系。在2002年、2007年《广东投入产出表》的基础上用投入产出分析法，分析短期静态产业之间的互动关系和产业内部各行业之间的互动基本情况；在此基础上，再利用1994-2012年的广东生产性服务业与装备制造业统计数据，建立VAR模型，通过格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应分析和方差分解，分析长期动态产业之间的互动关系和趋势，了解相互影响程度。实证结果显示：广东生产性服务业与装备制造业之间存在互动关系，，并且互动处于萌芽和起步阶段，但长期来看两个产业之间互动程度存在不断加深的趋势。装备制造业对生产性服务业的需求拉动作用大于生产性服务业对装备制造业的供给推动作用。最后，将研究结论与其他现有结论进行比较分析，并有针对性地提出促进广东生产性服务业与装备制造业互动发展的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Guangdong has witnessed rapid economic growth and industrial upgrading, and has entered the transition period of economic and social development. As a strategic industry in Guangdong, producer services and equipment manufacturing industries have been developed. Its level of development has a great impact on the transformation of Guangdong's economic development mode, the construction of modern industrial system and the improvement of industrial international competitiveness. At the same time, the manufacturing industry is the strong support for the gradual development and growth of producer services. The equipment manufacturing industry is the advanced department of the manufacturing industry. It plays an important role in promoting the development of technology and knowledge-intensive industries in producer services, and producer services are not only used as intermediate inputs to meet the development needs of equipment manufacturing industry. Moreover, it can speed up the process of optimization and upgrading of equipment manufacturing industry, and there is a significant interaction and fusion trend between the two industries. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the interactive relationship between producer service industry and equipment manufacturing industry in Guangdong. Firstly, this paper analyzes the relationship between the two industries from the social division of labor, transaction costs, industrial linkages, value chain theory, and the relationship between the two industries at different stages of interactive development. The main literatures on the interaction between producer services and manufacturing industry at home and abroad are described, and the empirical conclusions about industrial interaction are summarized. Secondly, it analyzes the present situation of producer service industry and equipment manufacturing industry in Guangdong province, and provides a realistic basis for proving the interaction between producer service industry and equipment manufacturing industry. Thirdly, empirical analysis of the interaction between producer services and equipment manufacturing in Guangdong. In 2002, 2007, on the basis of the "Guangdong input-output table" using input-output analysis. Analyze the interaction between the short-term static industry and the basic situation of the interaction between the industries within the industry; On this basis, using the statistical data of Guangdong producer services and equipment manufacturing industry from 1994 to 2012, the VAR model is established, and the Granger causality test, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition are adopted. This paper analyzes the interaction and trend between the long-term dynamic industries and understands the degree of mutual influence. The empirical results show that there is an interactive relationship between producer services and equipment manufacturing industry in Guangdong. And interaction is in its infancy and infancy. But in the long run, there is a tendency to deepen the interaction between the two industries. The demand pull effect of equipment manufacturing industry is greater than the supply promotion role of producer service industry. Finally. This paper compares the conclusions with other existing conclusions and puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the interactive development of producer service industry and equipment manufacturing industry in Guangdong.
【学位授予单位】：华南理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.4;F719

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