人民币升值对我国制造业国际竞争力的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-10 11:27

本文关键词：人民币升值对我国制造业国际竞争力的影响研究　出处：《上海理工大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：2008年金融危机以后，人民币升值呈现压力增大的趋势。作为我国主导产业的制造业，其产业国际竞争力在人民币升值压力下将受到怎样的影响，成为我们十分关注的问题。由于现有关于人民币升值对我国制造业国际竞争力影响的研究主要集中在出口竞争力方面，因此,本文通过构造我国制造业国际竞争力的评价指标体系，来研究人民币升值对我国制造业国际竞争力的全面影响，具有重要的理论和现实意义。本文主要从理论和实证两个方面研究了人民币升值对我国制造业国际竞争力的影响。首先，本文基于前人对产业国际竞争力的定义，总结提炼得出我国制造业国际竞争力的定义，进而结合金碚的因果分析模型理论，总结出我国制造业国际竞争力评价指标体系—三层次因果评价指标体系；其次，在我国制造业国际竞争力定义的基础上，本文从理论方面阐述了人民币升值对我国制造业国际竞争力的影响机理，以及影响途径；最后，，本文运用1994年到2010年的相关数据，借助eviews6.0软件，通过协整分析、ECM模型进行了实证研究，得出人民币升值对我国制造业产业国际竞争力的影响是多方面的。人民币升值有利于我国制造业生产能力和盈利能力的提高，但由于我国制造业是以低附加值、低科技含量产品为主，人民币升值对我国制造业市场竞争能力的影响是负面的。本文结论是人民币升值对我国制造业产业国际竞争力的负面影响主要是由我国落后的制造业产业结构所致，因此,本文提出我国制造业产业结构的优化是改善人民币升值对我国制造业国际竞争力影响的“净化器”，即我国制造业产业结构的优化可以降低人民币升值对我国制造业国际竞争力的负面影响，增加正面影响。
[Abstract]:After the financial crisis in 2008, the pressure of RMB appreciation increased. As the leading industry of our country, the international competitiveness of the manufacturing industry will be affected under the pressure of RMB appreciation. Since the current research on the impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry is mainly focused on export competitiveness. By constructing the evaluation index system of the international competitiveness of our manufacturing industry, this paper studies the overall impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of our manufacturing industry, which has important theoretical and practical significance. This paper mainly studies the impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry from both theoretical and empirical aspects. Firstly, this paper based on the previous definition of industrial international competitiveness. The definition of international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry is summarized and the evaluation index system of international competitiveness of manufacturing industry in China is summed up by combining the causality analysis model theory of Jinbei and the three-level causality evaluation index system of Chinese manufacturing industry. Secondly, on the basis of the definition of international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry, this paper expounds the influence mechanism of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry and the ways to influence it. Finally, this paper uses the relevant data from 1994 to 2010, with the help of eviews6.0 software, through cointegration analysis of eviews6.0 model for empirical research. It is concluded that the appreciation of RMB has many influences on the international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry. The appreciation of RMB is beneficial to the improvement of manufacturing capacity and profitability of our country, but because of the low added value of our manufacturing industry. Low-tech products are the main products, and the appreciation of RMB has a negative effect on the competitiveness of our manufacturing market. The conclusion of this paper is that the negative impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry is mainly caused by the backward industrial structure of manufacturing industry in China. This paper points out that the optimization of manufacturing industry structure in China is a "purifier" to improve the impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry. The optimization of manufacturing industry structure in China can reduce the negative impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of our manufacturing industry and increase the positive impact.
【学位授予单位】：上海理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6;F424

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