日本工业化进程中经济社会与能源环境协调发展演进趋势分析

发布时间：2018-01-22 13:21

本文关键词： 日本经济社会能源环境耦合协调度模型演进趋势　出处：《现代日本经济》2014年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：经济社会与能源环境的严重失调,已经成为发展中国家可持续发展的严重制约因子。运用耦合协调发展度模型研究日本工业化进程中经济社会与能源环境协调发展的演进趋势,分析其成功经验,对我国工业化进程中经济社会与能源环境协调发展起到一定的指导作用。研究结果表明,日本经济社会与能源环境耦合协调发展度在工业化进程中呈现鲜明的阶段性特点,经历了先下降、后上升、趋于平稳的3个阶段,呼应了日本工业化进程中快速工业化阶段、产业结构升级阶段、经济衰退阶段,只是由于发展惯性及环境政策效果的延迟性,经济社会与能源环境耦合协调发展度拐点整体上推迟5年左右;另外,拟合结果显示,产业结构升级改造以及可再生资源与废弃物利用程度的提高是促进经济社会与能源环境协调发展的关键环节。由此,我国在稳定经济发展速度、加大节能减排力度的同时,应考虑提早采取相关措施,进行产业结构升级、提高再生资源和废弃物的利用程度,大力发展循环经济,促进经济社会与能源环境的协调发展。
[Abstract]:The serious imbalance between economy, society and energy environment. It has become a serious restriction factor for the sustainable development of developing countries. This paper studies the evolution trend of the coordinated development of economic society and energy environment in the process of industrialization in Japan by using the coupled and coordinated development degree model and analyzes its successful experience. It will play a guiding role in the coordinated development of economy, society and energy environment in the process of industrialization in China. In the process of industrialization, the degree of coordinated development of Japan's economy, society and energy environment presents distinct stage characteristics, which has experienced three stages: first decreasing, then rising, and tending to steady. It echoes the rapid industrialization stage, the industrial structure upgrading stage and the economic recession stage in the process of Japanese industrialization, only because of the inertia of development and the delay of the effect of environmental policy. The inflexion point of economic, social and energy environment coupling and coordinated development is delayed for about 5 years; In addition, the fitting results show that the upgrading of industrial structure and the improvement of the utilization of renewable resources and wastes are the key links to promote the coordinated development of economic, social and energy environment. While stabilizing the speed of economic development and increasing energy saving and emission reduction, China should take early measures to upgrade the industrial structure, improve the utilization of renewable resources and wastes, and vigorously develop circular economy. To promote the coordinated development of economic, social and energy environment.
【作者单位】：吉林大学环境与资源学院地下水资源与环境教育部重点实验室;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“应对气候变化的低碳经济区建设政策研究”(70941036) 国家社会科学基金青年项目“生态环境与我国区域人口承载关系耦合研究”(08CRK004) 教育部人文社会科学研究规划项目“图们江水环境污染及中朝共同治理研究”(14YJAGJW004)
【分类号】：X24;F431.3;F224
【正文快照】： 一、引言环境规制竞争与工业经济增长的关系较为复杂,因此理解工业经济增长,必然不可回避环境规制问题。[1]日本作为典型的发达国家,二战后的压缩式工业化进程[2]使其经济发展经历了快速复苏、崛起、产业结构升级等重大历程,而在此期间出现的水俣病、痛痛病等四大公害事件及石

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