我国在非石油投资环境的安全研究—识别、评估及应对

发布时间：2018-02-24 13:08

本文关键词： 非传统安全石油安全非洲投资识别评估　出处：《浙江大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：在中国石油需求快速增长.高速率的石油供给下降的大背景下,中国新的能源安全战略旨在加强与新的贸易伙伴建立和巩固双边合作,全球化配置石油资产来加强能源安全。中国政府试图通过鼓励中国企业加强海外投资.在“走出去”战略的引导和推动下，国内企业纷纷制定跨国经营战略.到海外投资设其中具有石油储量丰富和独特的地缘政治优势的非洲市场潜力日益显现.正成为不少中国企业跨国投资的首选地区。中国与非洲国家的石油合作已有近十年历史、中国从该产区进口原油数量从1695万吨(2000年)飘升至7074万吨(2010年)，非洲在中国原油供应产区中的战略地位日趋重要.现在非洲已成为中国实施石油安全“多元化”战略的重要点区域之一然而我国石油公司的海外能源投资绝非一帆风顺，存在着地缘政治风险、经济风险等一系列非传统安全威胁。这不仅威胁到我国走出去企业的经营利润,更威胁到我国能源安全的支撑体系(海外能源供应体系和运输体系)，因此，，本文从中国能源安全角度出发，以非传统安全的视角,分析我国在非石油投资环境的NTS威胁.运用风险结构分解法和亏家调查法采识别具体的威胁因素.在此基础土论文运用层次分析法，建立子我国在非石油投资环境的NTS威胁评估模型.共有三大类15个二级指标.并针对相关专家、工作人员的问卷调研.对我国在非石油投资的安全环境进行了评价和分析.最后根据非传统安全的理念提出应对我国在非石油投资的NTS威胁.保障我国在非石油能源安全的参考意见。
[Abstract]:China's new energy security strategy is aimed at building and consolidating bilateral cooperation with new trading partners against the backdrop of rapid growth in China's oil demand. Global allocation of oil assets to enhance energy security. The Chinese government is trying to encourage Chinese companies to increase overseas investment. Domestic enterprises have drawn up transnational management strategy. The potential of African market with abundant oil reserves and unique geopolitical advantages is becoming more and more obvious. It is becoming the preferred place for many Chinese enterprises to invest abroad. China's oil cooperation with African countries has been going on for nearly 10 years. The amount of crude oil imported by China from the region has gone from 16.95 million tons (2000) to 70.74 million tons (2010). Africa's strategic position in China's crude oil supply areas has become increasingly important. Africa has now become a "diversification" of China's oil security. One of the most important areas of the strategy. However, the overseas energy investment of Chinese oil companies is by no means smooth, and there are a series of non-traditional security threats, such as geopolitical risks and economic risks. The supporting system of China's energy security (overseas energy supply system and transportation system), therefore, from the perspective of China's energy security, from the perspective of non-traditional security, This paper analyzes the NTS threat in China's non-oil investment environment. It uses the risk structure decomposition method and the loss investigation method to identify the specific threat factors. On this basis, the paper uses the Analytic hierarchy process (AHP). To establish a NTS threat assessment model for China's non-oil investment environment. There are three categories of 15 secondary indicators. The paper evaluates and analyzes the security environment of non-oil investment in China. Finally, according to the concept of non-traditional security, the author puts forward the NTS threat to China's non-oil investment and guarantees our country's non-oil investment. References to energy security.
【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.22

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