中德汽车产品产业内贸易实证分析及对策研究

发布时间：2018-03-16 05:12

本文选题：产业内贸易　切入点：汽车产品　出处：《中国海洋大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：20世纪中叶后，产业内贸易这种新型的贸易形式正在逐渐占据国际贸易的显著地位，产业内贸易与产业间贸易共存己成为当今贸易格局的重要特征。汽车产品产业的国际贸易是产业内贸易的一个典型范例，美国、欧洲与日本之间的汽车产品产业内贸易程度相当高。产业内贸易在很大程度上促进了这些国家和地区汽车产业的发展，并且成为带动这些国家经济发展的动力。目前对汽车产品产业内贸易的研究多集中在发达国家，对中美间的汽车产品产业内贸易的研究也较多，本文是在理论和实证的基础上，针对中德汽车产品进行产业内贸易研究。近些年来，我国汽车业发展迅速，德国汽车技术实力相当雄厚，我国相对技术落后，在国际分工中处于不利地位。研究中德汽车产品产业内贸易，对我国扩大对德汽车产品产业内贸易及优化对德贸易结构具有重要意义。本文首先分析中国汽车产品产业的发展现状和中德汽车产品产业内贸易的总体发展水平。用GL指数对中德汽车产品产业内贸易进行测算，发现中德汽车产品总体上产业内贸易水平较低。中德汽车在主要载人机动车辆方面，产业内贸易非常少，而在机动车辆的零部件方面，贸易形式是以产业内贸易为主。又借鉴了Greenaway提出的产业内贸易类型划分标准，以单位产品的进出口比价为基础，计算了8703类、8704类、8706类及8708类中德汽车主要产品产业内贸易类型，分析出四类产品的出口质量低于进口质量，处于垂直产业内分工的低端，表现为下垂直产业内贸易。其次，在把握中德汽车产品产业内贸易现状的基础上，对中德汽车产品产业内贸易进行了进一步的实证分析。在深入分析影响中德汽车产品产业内贸易的主要因素时，文章将这些因素按其性质分成了国家特征因素和产业特征因素两大类，并阐述了其作用机理。随后设定了一个分析中德汽车产品产业内贸易影响因素的计量模型，利用2000-2011年数据对该模型进行回归分析，得到各变量对双边汽车产品产业内贸易发展的具体影响。再建立可拓物元模型，评价中德汽车产业产业内贸易的发展状态，还需要从各方面更好的发展产业内贸易。最后，文章从政府、行业协会、企业三个层面，，针对如何提升中德汽车行业产业内贸易，提出了相应的对策建议。政府层面包括提升国内汽车产业规模经济，重视我国汽车产业的外商投资以及营造汽车产业技术创新环境；行业协会层包括推动企业技术创新，规范汽车行业秩序应对贸易壁垒及加强企业间的交流与培训；企业层面包括实施规模化经营，注重技术创新，积极应对贸易壁垒及加强研发投入和人才培养。实施合理的相关政策能促进中德汽车产品产业内贸易快速、健康、可持续的发展，中德汽车产品产业内贸易的不断加强也必将使双方合作走向更深远的境界。
[Abstract]:After the middle of 20th century, intra-industry trade, a new form of trade, is gradually occupying a prominent position in international trade. The coexistence of intra-industry trade and inter-industry trade has become an important feature of today's trade pattern. The international trade of automobile products industry is a typical example of intra-industry trade. The degree of intra-industry trade in automobile products between Europe and Japan is quite high. Intra-industry trade has greatly promoted the development of the automobile industry in these countries and regions. At present, most of the research on intra-industry trade of automobile products is concentrated in developed countries, and the research on intra-industry trade of automobile products between China and the United States is also more. This paper is based on theory and empirical evidence. Research on intra-industry trade between China and Germany. In recent years, China's automobile industry has developed rapidly, Germany has a very strong technical strength, and our country is relatively backward in technology. In the international division of labor, it is of great significance to study the intra-industry trade between China and Germany for the expansion of intra-industry trade with Germany and the optimization of the structure of trade with Germany. This paper first analyzes the current situation of the development of China's automobile products industry and the overall development level of intra-industry trade between China and Germany, and calculates the intra-industry trade of Sino-German automobile products by using GL index. It is found that the level of intra-industry trade between China and Germany is generally low. There is very little intra-industry trade between China and Germany in the main manned motor vehicles, but in the parts and components of motor vehicles. The form of trade is mainly intra-industry trade. Based on the intra-industry trade classification standard put forward by Greenaway and the import / export price of unit products, the intra-industry trade types of 8703, 8704, 8706 and 8708 major Sino-German automobile products are calculated. The analysis shows that the export quality of four kinds of products is lower than the import quality, and it is at the low end of vertical industrial division of labor, which is manifested as the lower vertical intra-industry trade. Secondly, on the basis of grasping the present situation of intra-industry trade in automobile products between China and Germany, this paper makes a further empirical analysis on intra-industry trade of automobile products between China and Germany. According to its nature, these factors are divided into two categories: national characteristic factor and industrial characteristic factor, and the mechanism of their action is expounded. Then, an econometric model is set up to analyze the influencing factors of intra-industry trade in automobile products between China and Germany. Using the data from 2000 to 2011, the regression analysis of the model is carried out, and the specific influence of each variable on the development of intra-industry trade of bilateral automobile products is obtained. Then the extension matter-element model is established to evaluate the development of intra-industry trade between China and Germany. There is also a need to better develop intra-industry trade in all its aspects. Finally, from the government, the industry association, the enterprise three levels, the article has proposed the corresponding countermeasure suggestion to how to promote the Sino-German automobile industry intra-industry trade. The government level includes promoting the domestic automobile industry scale economy. Emphasis should be placed on foreign investment in China's automobile industry and the creation of an environment for technological innovation in the automotive industry, which includes promoting technological innovation in enterprises, standardizing the order of the automobile industry to deal with trade barriers, and strengthening exchanges and training among enterprises. The enterprise level includes implementing large-scale operation, paying attention to technological innovation, actively dealing with trade barriers and strengthening R & D investment and personnel training. The implementation of reasonable related policies can promote the rapid and healthy intra-industry trade between China and Germany. With the sustainable development, the continuous strengthening of intra-industry trade between China and Germany will make the cooperation between China and Germany more profound.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752.7;F426.471;F416.471

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