ABC玩具公司及M外包商的生产计划与控制研究

发布时间：2018-04-02 21:17

本文选题：生产计划　切入点：玩具行业　出处：《天津大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：生产计划是企业为了满足市场需要或顾客需求而生产产品，确定何时生产，在哪生产以及如何生产的总体计划，是对企业整体生产任务的确定与进度的安排。同时企业为了争取更大的利润和使成本最小化,企业的生产模式由原来的自制生产转为外包生产。因此如何管理企业生产计划和如何对外包厂商进行管理已成为企业成功的关键，因为这直接影响着企业订单的状况和企业的收益状况。本文主要是针对当今玩具行业的特点，为生产外包商设计一个需求预测算法和线性生产计划模型，同时提出如何对外包商进行外包风险和生产计划的进度进行控制。论文主要从以下几步着手：首先分析了玩具制造业生产计划的特点及研究现状；接着以ABC玩具背景的M公司的生产计划现状以及存在的问题及原因分析，，运用季节性变动问题的Winters法对需求进行预测和线性规划模型对生产计划进行编排；其次再针对ABC玩具公司的特点运用去季节性波动对需求进行预测，同时对外包风险及生产计划控制提供解决方法，并通过案例来解释说明；再次比较实行生产计划模型和生产计划控制后的公司改善结果；最后分析在制作生产计划模型及制定生产控制KPI考核指标中所存在的不足。
[Abstract]:Production planning is the overall plan for enterprises to produce products in order to meet the needs of the market or customers, to determine when to produce, where to produce and how to produce, as well as to determine the overall production tasks and schedule of enterprises.At the same time, in order to gain more profit and minimize the cost, the production mode of the enterprise is changed from the original homemade production to the outsourcing production.Therefore, how to manage the enterprise production plan and how to manage the outsourcing manufacturer has become the key to the success of the enterprise, because it directly affects the status of the enterprise order and the income of the enterprise.According to the characteristics of toyindustry, this paper designs a demand forecasting algorithm and a linear production planning model for the outsourcers, and puts forward how to control the outsourced risks and production schedule of the external contractors.This paper mainly starts with the following steps: firstly, it analyzes the characteristics and research status of toy manufacturing production plan, and then, based on the background of ABC toys, M company's production planning status, existing problems and reasons are analyzed.The Winters method of seasonal variation problem is used to forecast demand and linear programming model is used to arrange production plan. Secondly, according to the characteristics of ABC toy company, the demand is predicted by using non-seasonal fluctuation.At the same time, it provides solutions to outsourcing risk and production planning control, and explains it by case study, and compares the improvement results of production planning model and production plan control.Finally, it analyzes the deficiency in making production planning model and making KPI assessment index of production control.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.8;F273

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