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低碳条件下宁波市工业结构调整研究

发布时间:2018-05-08 22:18

  本文选题:低碳 + 工业结构调整 ; 参考:《宁波大学》2013年硕士论文


【摘要】:本文以港口城市宁波为例对港口城市的产业特征进行了分析,基于临港工业与低碳化发展的国际背景,探讨了港口城市工业结构的调整优化。首先,基于发展低碳经济的角度,从技术创新、资源禀赋、需求结构、政策制度等方面对工业结构调整的影响因素进行分析,为全文分析提供了理论基础。其次,分别从投入角度分析工业能源消费特征、从产出角度分析工业碳排放特征,对宁波市工业低碳现状特征进行概括,并依据碳排放强度对工业部门进行聚类分析,为进一步实证分析提供现实依据。再次,构建嵌入碳指标的指标体系——以全部从业人员数、固定资产投资、流动资产投资、工业能源消费量、碳排放量作为输入指标,以工业总产值、利润总额作为输出指标,运用数据包络分析法,,对2002-2010年宁波市33个工业部门进行效率测算与分解分析。结果表明:当前宁波工业部门经济效率总体偏低,工业经济集约化水平不高。从工业内部结构来看,除了2009年,考察期内宁波重工业部门效率均高于轻工业部门,这与宁波轻重工业部门的增速和结构变化趋势大致相符,技术进步和规模经济成为重工业效率比轻工业更高的主要原因;但从变化趋势来看,两类部门的效率均比21世纪初有所下降,效率分解结果表明,各部门技术效率没有得到充分发挥,主要原因是大多数行业的纯技术效率偏低;对2010年情形具体分析后发现,工业经济的效率中心集中在石油、化工、电力、有色金属等临港工业,以及烟草、通信等高利润部门;此外,文中给出了2010年宁波市工业部门各投入要素的冗余额,可以作为工业结构调整的参考。最后,按照发展低碳经济的要求,本文提出政府应该从推动产业联动发展、优化资源配置结构、加大节能减排力度等方面,促进宁波市工业结构调整。
[Abstract]:This paper takes Ningbo as an example to analyze the industrial characteristics of port city, and discusses the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure of port city based on the international background of port industry and low carbonization development. Firstly, based on the development of low-carbon economy, this paper analyzes the influence factors of industrial structure adjustment from technological innovation, resource endowment, demand structure, policy system and so on, which provides a theoretical basis for the full text analysis. Secondly, it analyzes the characteristics of industrial energy consumption from the perspective of input, the characteristics of industrial carbon emissions from the point of view of output, summarizes the characteristics of industrial low carbon status in Ningbo, and cluster analysis of industrial sector according to the intensity of carbon emissions. To provide practical basis for further empirical analysis. Thirdly, to construct the index system of embedded carbon index-taking the total number of employees, investment in fixed assets, investment in current assets, industrial energy consumption, carbon emissions as input indicators, gross industrial output value, total profits as output indicators. The efficiency of 33 industrial departments in Ningbo from 2002 to 2010 was measured and decomposed by using data envelopment analysis. The results show that the economic efficiency of Ningbo industrial sector is on the low side and the level of industrial economy intensification is not high. In terms of the internal structure of the industry, except in 2009, the efficiency of the Ningbo heavy industry sector was higher than that of the light industry sector during the inspection period, which was roughly in line with the trend of growth and structural changes in the Ningbo light and heavy industry sector. Technological progress and economies of scale are the main reasons why heavy industry is more efficient than light industry; but in terms of changing trends, efficiency in both sectors is lower than at the beginning of the 21st century. Technical efficiency in various sectors has not been given full play, mainly due to the low pure technical efficiency in most industries. A specific analysis of the situation in 2010 shows that the efficiency centers of the industrial economy are concentrated in petroleum, chemical industry and electricity. Non-ferrous metals and other port industries, as well as high-profit departments such as tobacco and communications, are also given in this paper. In addition, the redundant amount of input elements in Ningbo's industrial sector in 2010 is given, which can be used as a reference for the adjustment of industrial structure. Finally, according to the requirements of developing low-carbon economy, this paper puts forward that the government should promote the adjustment of industrial structure in Ningbo from the aspects of promoting the linkage development of industry, optimizing the structure of resource allocation and increasing the intensity of energy saving and emission reduction.
【学位授予单位】:宁波大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F427

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