基于密度依赖模型的广州制造业企业死亡风险研究

发布时间：2018-05-09 18:32

本文选题：种群密度 + 组织年龄　；参考：《华南师范大学学报(自然科学版)》2014年05期

【摘要】：分析在同一个产业环境中不同组织形式的演化特征,概括其竞争和协作关系,判断这些关系对制造业中组织演化的影响,在此基础上提出有利于广州制造业持续发展的调控对策和建议.利用种群密度依赖原理、时变变量Cox模型分析广州制造业企业死亡风险,结果表明:(1)2000—2012年期间,广州制造业的种群密度与组织死亡风险呈正向的关系;(2)组织年龄与组织死亡风险呈负向的关系,且组织年龄可以抑制种群密度对组织死亡的影响;(3)在相同的组织年龄水平下多元化企业面临的死亡风险大于专一型企业的死亡风险,并且随着组织年龄的增大,两者的死亡风险差距逐渐扩大;(4)种群密度对外资企业死亡风险的影响大于对内资企业死亡风险的影响.但外资企业一旦存活,随之组织年龄的增大,其死亡风险跟内资企业面临的死亡风险基本相同;(5)种群密度对非劳动密集型企业死亡风险的影响大于对劳动密集型企业的死亡风险.
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the evolution characteristics of different organizational forms in the same industrial environment, summarizes their competition and cooperation relationships, and judges the influence of these relationships on the organizational evolution in manufacturing industry. On the basis of this, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions for the sustainable development of Guangzhou manufacturing industry. Based on the principle of population density dependence and time-varying variable Cox model, the death risk of Guangzhou manufacturing enterprises is analyzed. The population density of Guangzhou manufacturing industry is positively correlated with the risk of tissue death. (2) there is a negative relationship between tissue age and the risk of tissue death. And tissue age can inhibit the effect of population density on tissue death. At the same organizational age level, the risk of death faced by diversified enterprises is greater than that of specific enterprises, and with the increase of organizational age, the risk of death is greater than that of specific enterprises. The difference of death risk between the two groups is gradually widening.) the effect of population density on death risk of foreign-funded enterprises is greater than that on domestic enterprises. But once a foreign-funded enterprise survives, the age of the organization increases. The risk of death is basically the same as that faced by domestic enterprises. The effect of population density on death risk of non-labor-intensive enterprises is greater than that of labor-intensive enterprises.
【作者单位】：暨南大学产业经济研究院;华南师范大学经济与管理学院;华南农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71401057) 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(13YJAZH069) 广东省自然科学基金项目(S2012010008757,GD13YLJ02) 广东省科技计划项目(2012B040301034)
【分类号】：F425;F224

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