山东省工业结构演变的大气环境效应研究

发布时间：2018-05-19 17:16

本文选题：工业结构 + 大气环境效应　；参考：《中国人口.资源与环境》2014年01期

【摘要】：本文以LMDI分解方法研究山东省1991-2011年工业经济增长的环境规模效应、结构效应、技术效应的变化特征,测度污染密集型产业结构变动带来的大气环境效应。研究发现:①山东省SO2、烟尘、粉尘等大气污染物排放状况总体趋势改善,但污染物排放的产业集聚性特征明显,其中污染密集型产业增加值占工业总增加值的25-45%,而其大气污染物排放量占总排放量的90%以上;②规模效应是造成大气污染物排放总量增加的主要原因,技术效应是控制大气污染物排放量的主要因素,结构效应对大气污染物减排效果并不明显,因此调整工业结构特别是减少污染密集型产业比重是污染物减排的重要途径;③1991-2011年山东省污染密集型产业比重上升或下降1个百分点,工业废气、SO2、烟尘和粉尘排放量将分别增加或减少19.13百亿标m3、5.68万t、2.25万t、3.70万t。依据上述研究结论,需要从大气污染物综合排放标准、区域大气环境管理、环境管理政策、科技支撑体系等方面优化产业结构,推动区域经济与环境的协调发展,应对当前的大气环境问题。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the characteristics of environmental scale effect, structural effect and technological effect of industrial economic growth in Shandong Province from 1991 to 2011 are studied by using LMDI decomposition method, and the atmospheric environmental effects caused by the change of pollution intensive industrial structure are measured. The study found that the general trend of emission of atmospheric pollutants such as so _ 2, dust and dust in Shandong Province was improved, but the characteristics of industrial agglomeration of pollutants were obvious. Among them, the added value of pollution-intensive industries accounts for 25-455.The scale effect of atmospheric pollutant emissions accounts for more than 90% of the total emissions, which is the main reason for the increase in the total emissions of atmospheric pollutants. The technical effect is the main factor to control the emission of atmospheric pollutants, and the structural effect is not obvious. Therefore, adjusting the industrial structure, especially reducing the proportion of pollution-intensive industries, is an important way to reduce the emission of pollutants. From 1991 to 2011, the proportion of polluting intensive industries in Shandong Province increased or decreased by 1 percentage point, and the emissions of industrial waste gas, such as so _ 2, soot and dust, will increase or decrease by 1.913 billion standard m _ 3, 56800 t, 22500 t and 37000 t, respectively. According to the above conclusions, it is necessary to optimize the industrial structure from the aspects of comprehensive emission standards of atmospheric pollutants, regional atmospheric environment management, environmental management policy, science and technology support system, and promote the coordinated development of regional economy and environment. To deal with the current atmospheric environmental problems.
【作者单位】：山东师范大学人口·资源与环境学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“典型人地关系地域系统可持续性评估和生态环境安全预警研究”(编号:41271553);国家自然科学基金项目“高速交通对城市空间结构演变的影响与优化研究”(编号:41371170) 山东省科技攻关计划项目“基于‘3S’技术的黄河三角洲高效生态经济区资源环境承载能力数据分析及仿真模型”(编号:2010GZX20804)
【分类号】：F427;X51

【参考文献】