欧债危机对中欧汽车贸易的影响

发布时间：2018-06-02 23:46

本文选题：影响机制 + 欧债危机　；参考：《复旦大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：欧债危机至今尚未平息,世界经济面临着新的冲击和不确定因素。作为中国的最大贸易伙伴,欧盟对中国的影响巨大。本文就欧债危机对我国汽车贸易影响的机理进行深入剖析,并将欧债危机对中欧汽车贸易的影响进行实证分析,希望能够找出欧债危机对我国汽车贸易的深层次影响,并为我国汽车行业的进出口贸易设计应对策略提供启发。本文的研究主要基于以下思路：通过对欧债危机的起因以及对中欧贸易的影响进行分析,清晰的梳理了欧债危机的一些特质。进而,本文将分析视角集中到我国汽车业,深入剖析了欧债危机对中欧汽车贸易的影响机理,并通过影响中欧汽车贸易的多个因子,对其进行实证分析,并在此基础上得出相关结论,提出相应的应对策略和建议。本文总共分为六部分,第一章为引言,主要针对论文的选题背景、研究目的与意义、研究思路与方法以及本文的创新之处作了简单的介绍。第二章概述了传导机制相关国际贸易理论及主权债务危机理论和欧债危机的起因,并分析了欧债危机对中欧贸易的整体影响。第三章回顾了欧债危机爆发前的中欧汽车贸易,并概述欧债危机爆发后的中欧汽车贸易,而后就欧债危机对我国汽车贸易的影响机理进行剖析,得出欧债危机对中欧汽车贸易的影响因子、影响途径和影响后果。第四章引入“主成分分析法”,并通过影响中欧汽车贸易的多个因子进行实证分析,得出相关结论。第五章接上一章实证分析中的相关结论,选取了“欧中对汽车零部件互征反倾销税”作为双方贸易摩擦的实例,对欧债危机影响中欧汽车贸易的典型事件进行了案例分析。第六章为结论与建议,提出本文的结论和不足之处,并对中欧汽车贸易前景和后续研究进行了展望。本文通过实证分析和案例分析研究欧债危机对我国汽车贸易影响的机理,对我国应对国际贸易环境变化,维护我国对外贸易的稳定健康发展,都有着较大的理论和现实意义。
[Abstract]:The European debt crisis has not yet subsided, and the world economy is facing new shocks and uncertainties. As China's largest trading partner, the EU has a huge impact on China. In this paper, the mechanism of European debt crisis on China's auto trade is deeply analyzed, and the impact of European debt crisis on China-EU auto trade is analyzed empirically, hoping to find out the deep influence of European debt crisis on China's auto trade. It also provides inspiration for the design of import and export trade in China's automobile industry. The main research of this paper is based on the following ideas: through the analysis of the causes of the European debt crisis and the impact on China-EU trade, it clearly combs some characteristics of the European debt crisis. Furthermore, this paper focuses on China's automobile industry, deeply analyzes the influence mechanism of European debt crisis on China-EU auto trade, and makes an empirical analysis on it through several factors affecting China-EU auto trade. On this basis, the relevant conclusions are drawn, and the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward. This paper is divided into six parts. The first chapter is the introduction, which mainly introduces the background, the purpose and significance of the research, the research ideas and methods, and the innovation of this paper. The second chapter summarizes the international trade theory, sovereign debt crisis theory and the causes of European debt crisis, and analyzes the overall impact of European debt crisis on China-EU trade. The third chapter reviews the China-EU auto trade before the European debt crisis, and summarizes the China-EU auto trade after the European debt crisis, and then analyzes the influence mechanism of the European debt crisis on China's auto trade. The influence factors, ways and consequences of European debt crisis on China-EU auto trade are obtained. Chapter four introduces Principal component Analysis (PCA), and makes empirical analysis on several factors affecting China-EU auto trade, and draws relevant conclusions. The fifth chapter is followed by the relevant conclusions of the empirical analysis in the previous chapter, and selected "Europe and China to impose reciprocal anti-dumping duties on auto parts and components" as an example of trade friction between the two sides, and made a case study on the typical events of the European debt crisis affecting China-EU auto trade. The sixth chapter is the conclusion and suggestion, puts forward the conclusion and deficiency of this paper, and looks forward to the prospect and follow-up study of China-EU auto trade. Through empirical analysis and case study, this paper studies the mechanism of European debt crisis on China's auto trade, which is of great theoretical and practical significance for China to cope with the changes in the international trade environment and to maintain the stable and healthy development of China's foreign trade.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752.7;F416.471

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