2013年全球矿业形势分析与展望

发布时间：2018-06-08 19:42

本文选题：全球矿业形势 + 矿产勘查　；参考：《中国矿业》2014年04期

【摘要】：2013年,世界经济继续缓慢复苏,经济增长格局却出现重大变化。发达经济体整体向好,保持缓慢增长的势头,而作为世界经济主要驱动力的新兴经济体的增速却全面下滑。2013年以来,全球大宗矿产品需求萎缩,产能过剩较为严重,重要矿产品库存维系高位,主要金属价格基本呈震荡下行态势,矿产勘查投资减少,矿业公司现金流不足,矿业并购数量和额度呈"双下滑"趋势,全球矿业市场持续走低。总体来看,目前全球矿业仍处于二次探底的过程中,2015~2016年之前,去库存化、去产能化将主导中短期的矿业走势,全球矿业正步入微利、薄利时代,针对当前全球矿业下行中出现的新情况和新问题,我们提出几点建议:一是稳定地质勘查财政投入,增强社会服务能力;二是实施矿产地储备行动,保障未来资源供应;三是完善我国矿产资源管理制度,加快国际化步伐;四是持续推进"走出去"战略,强化保障体系建设;五是加大矿业科技投入,引导矿业公司进行科技创新。
[Abstract]:In 2013, the world economy continued to slow recovery, but the pattern of economic growth has changed significantly. Developed economies as a whole have been improving, keeping the momentum of slow growth, while emerging economies, the main drivers of the world economy, have seen overall declines. Since 2013, global demand for commodities has shrunk and overcapacity has been high. Key mineral stocks remained high, major metal prices were in a volatile and downward trend, investment in mineral exploration was reduced, cash flow of mining companies was insufficient, the number and quota of mining mergers and acquisitions showed a "double decline" trend, and the global mining market continued to decline. Generally speaking, the global mining industry is still in the process of a second dip from 2015 to 2016. Destocking and deproduction capacity will dominate the short and medium term mining trend. The global mining industry is entering the era of small profits and small profits. In view of the new situation and new problems in the current global mining downturn, we put forward several suggestions: first, to stabilize the financial investment in geological exploration and to enhance the social service capacity; second, to implement the action of mineral land reserve to ensure the future supply of resources; Third, we should perfect our mineral resources management system and speed up the pace of internationalization; fourth, we should continue to push forward the "going out" strategy and strengthen the construction of the guarantee system; fifth, we should increase investment in mining science and technology and guide mining companies to carry out scientific and technological innovation.
【作者单位】：中国地质调查局发展研究中心;
【基金】：中国地质调查局国土资源大调查项目“重要矿产资源对2020年、2025年与2030年国民经济建设保障程度研究”资助(编号:12120113079900);中国地质调查局国土资源大调查项目“地质调查情报跟踪与科技战略研究”资助(编号:12120113018800)
【分类号】：F416.1

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