保定市工业碳排放核算方法与低碳发展路径研究

发布时间：2018-06-12 05:39

本文选题：工业碳排放 + 发展路径　；参考：《华北电力大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国现代工业发展是建立在化石能源消耗的基础之上，在未来一段时间里，中国的工业化将无法摆脱高消耗、重污染、低产出的传统发展模式，，经济增长依赖于矿石燃料的格局不会改变。工业在节能减排、提高能效方面具有较大的减排潜力和发展空间，是培育低碳经济增长点的重要行业，是完成低碳城市建设的关键环节。通过推进工业部门的节能减排技术，大力发展生态产业、环保产业等，可以促进城市碳排放量的大幅度减少。因此在低碳发展过程中，必须高度重视工业部门的作用。本文首先从支柱产业、工业结构、工业能耗等方面对保定市工业现状进行描述；然后选择能源消耗量估算法对保定市工业碳排放进行核算，分析工业生产过程中的碳排放量及不同部门碳排放量分布，得出保定市工业碳排放增速有放缓趋势，但整体碳排放量仍处在高排放阶段；在此基础上，以计算得出的碳排放量为被解释变量，应用误差修正模型构建碳排放核算方法，寻找碳排放、能源消耗及经济产出三者之间的均衡关系；而后将微观经济学中的弹性系数概念引入到碳排放相关计算中，分析各工业部门的碳排放弹性系数；结合DEA模型，分析能源—碳排放、经济—碳排放的显著有效水平，并分析各部门的能源经济环境的综合效率，从而发现问题及矛盾，然后提出适合保定市工业低碳化发展的路径；并从技术创新、政策调控等方面，对保定市工业低碳化发展提出相关的政策建议。
[Abstract]:China's modern industrial development is based on the consumption of fossil energy. In the future, China's industrialization will not be able to get rid of the traditional development model of high consumption, heavy pollution and low output. The pattern of economic growth dependent on fossil fuels will not change. Industry has great potential and developing space in energy saving and emission reduction and improving energy efficiency. It is an important industry to cultivate low carbon economic growth point and a key link to complete the construction of low carbon city. By promoting the technology of energy saving and emission reduction in the industrial sector and vigorously developing ecological industry and environmental protection industry, the urban carbon emissions can be greatly reduced. Therefore, in the process of low-carbon development, we must attach great importance to the role of the industrial sector. Firstly, this paper describes the status quo of Baoding industry from the aspects of pillar industry, industrial structure, industrial energy consumption and so on. Then select the energy consumption estimation method to calculate the industrial carbon emissions in Baoding City, analyze the carbon emissions in the industrial production process and the distribution of carbon emissions in different sectors, and draw the conclusion that the growth rate of industrial carbon emissions in Baoding City has a tendency to slow down. But the overall carbon emission is still in the high emission stage; on the basis of this, taking the calculated carbon emissions as the explanatory variable, the error correction model is used to construct the carbon emission accounting method to find out the carbon emissions. The equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic output, and then introduce the concept of elasticity coefficient in microeconomics into the calculation of carbon emissions correlation, analyze the carbon emission elasticity coefficient of various industrial sectors, combined with DEA model, This paper analyzes the significant effective level of energy-carbon emission and economic-carbon emission, and analyzes the comprehensive efficiency of energy economic environment in various sectors, so as to find out the problems and contradictions, and then puts forward the path suitable for the development of industrial low carbonization in Baoding City. And from technological innovation, policy regulation and other aspects, the development of industrial low-carbon Baoding City put forward relevant policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F424.1

【参考文献】