印度能源安全战略评析

发布时间：2018-06-17 01:39

本文选题：能源战略 + 能源安全　；参考：《南京大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：能源安全是一国经济安全的重要方面,长期以来受到国内外学界的广泛关注。现代能源安全理论认为能源安全状态是4A的统一,即物质上的存在性(available、地缘政治上的可获取性(accessible)、经济上的可支付性(affordable)以及环境上的可承受性(acceptable)、每个维度最终展现为一系列的统计指标。然而对能源安全的各个维度的刻画并不应仅限于最终一系列的统计公式,还要对每一个维度背后的思想源泉梳理、归纳,真正将能源安全的概念史凸显出来,才能建构出适合于某一国家的能源安全评价体系,对一国的能源安全状况科学测评,显示出一国的能源不安全程度。解决能源安全问题不能仅依靠国际能源市场,根本上依赖于国家有目的的能源安全大战略。大战略可分为国内战略与国际战略两部分,国内战略是根本,国际战略应放在为国内战略服务的角度理解。印度整体能源安全战略的形成与发展有其自身的逻辑,由于自身财力与决策机制的限制,其与东道国国有能源公司的合作,与西方国际能源公司的合作,以及与新型工业化国家国有石油公司的合作必不可免,合作对于印度来说几乎是一个必须的选项。当然“中国因素”在印度的非洲能源安全战略讨论中是一个特殊而又重要的话题,面对与其利益诉求相似而体量更大,拥有更大决策的中国能源企业,印度当前在担忧之余又急切的希望能够避免同中国交锋。印度目前的能源安全问题尚处于起步阶段,未来会日益加剧,可能将在2030年左右达到顶峰。为了应对未来二十年的能源危机,印度政府有意识地制订了国内庞大的能源发展规划,从常规能源到新能源,涉及面广、需求量大,以抵御国际能源的供需格局变动带来的冲击。当前印度政府的能源战略更多地偏向于优先保障国内能源的有效供给和能源来源多元化程度等方面,但从长远考虑对经济层面和环境层面的关注仍然必不可少。总之,印度能源安全战略的形成与发展有其自身的逻辑,积极与印方的能源战略相协调,对于中国自身的能源安全或许也是有利的。国家间的合作需要务实的安全观念,只要双方能够保持开放的心态,可以预见中印双方的能源合作不仅会继续走下去,而起有可能发展出一套机制,为新兴大国间在资源分配领域的合作树立榜样。
[Abstract]:Energy security is an important aspect of a country's economic security, which has been widely concerned by scholars at home and abroad for a long time. Modern energy security theory holds that the state of energy security is the unity of 4A. That is, material existence is available, geopolitical accessibility is accessible, economic affordability is affordable, and environmental affordability is acceptable, and each dimension is ultimately presented as a series of statistical indicators. However, the depiction of each dimension of energy security should not only be limited to a series of final statistical formulas, but also comb the source of thought behind each dimension, sum up, and truly highlight the history of the concept of energy security. In order to construct an energy security evaluation system suitable for a certain country, the scientific evaluation of a country's energy security situation shows the degree of energy insecurity of a country. To solve the problem of energy security, we should not only rely on the international energy market, but also rely on the national energy security strategy. Grand strategy can be divided into domestic strategy and international strategy. Domestic strategy is the fundamental and international strategy should be understood from the angle of serving domestic strategy. The formation and development of India's overall energy security strategy has its own logic. Due to the limitations of its own financial resources and decision-making mechanisms, India cooperates with the host state energy companies and with the western international energy companies. And a deal with new-industrialised state-owned oil companies that is almost a necessary option for India. Of course, the "China factor" is a special and important topic in India's discussions on energy security in Africa. In the face of Chinese energy enterprises with larger and larger interests and similar interests, India is worried and eager to avoid confrontation with China. India's current energy security problem is still in its infancy and is likely to peak around 2030. In order to cope with the energy crisis in the next two decades, the Indian government has consciously drawn up a huge domestic energy development plan, ranging from conventional energy to new energy, which involves a wide range of areas and is in great demand. In order to withstand the international energy supply and demand pattern changes brought about by the impact. The current energy strategy of the Indian government is more biased towards ensuring effective domestic energy supply and the degree of diversification of energy sources, but it is still necessary to focus on the economic and environmental aspects in the long run. In short, the formation and development of India's energy security strategy has its own logic, and positive coordination with India's energy strategy may be beneficial to China's own energy security. Cooperation between countries requires a pragmatic concept of security. As long as the two sides maintain an open mind, it can be foreseen that the energy cooperation between China and India will not only continue, but also develop a mechanism. Set an example for cooperation among emerging powers in the field of resource allocation.
【学位授予单位】：南京大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F435.1;F206

【参考文献】